FNUS73 KMQT 252102 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR WIDGEON CREEK...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 502 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0432 EDT ON MAY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE IS SOUTH OF THE TAIL OF THE FIRE AS OF 5 PM EDT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. EXPECT SOUTHEAST TO EAST WINDS SATURDAY...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO 35 TO 40 PERCENT. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING...BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AROUND A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. CHANCES FOR RAIN THEN RETURN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 TO 30 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (535). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........29 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 58 RH..............48 51 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.535 356 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.7 HAINES INDEX....3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........33 33 34 34 34 35 35 37 38 40 42 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 57 55 53 51 50 48 47 46 46 45 47 RH..............52 54 58 62 67 72 77 81 82 83 85 82 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.226 137 80 53 36 38 43 38 33 28 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (447). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-6900 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING DECREASING TO 2400-4300 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........45 46 47 48 49 50 51 57 62 68 74 79 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............51 57 64 70 72 72 71 72 72 72 70 66 RH..............73 59 47 39 36 36 36 35 35 36 40 46 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE E E E E E E GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.28 181 342 443 447 405 408 346 268 239 217 145 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.8 3.8 5.5 6.4 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.7 6.0 4.3 2.4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120525.WIDGE.01/MQT