FNUS73 KMQT 262049 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - MIDDLE OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 449 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 448 PM EDT ON MAY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE HAS MOVED PAST THE HEAD OF THE FIRE TO NEAR THE TAIL OF THE FIRE...CREATING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT THE HEAD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VARY GREATLY BETWEEN THE HEAD AND TAIL OF THE FIRE THROUGH THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL VARY AS WELL WITH AREAS NEAR THE HEAD OF THE FIRE STAYING MAINLY AROUND 60 DEGREES WHILE TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE TAIL OF THE FIRE AND M-123 WILL BE IN THE LOW 70S THIS EVENING. RESULTING HUMIDITIES WILL VARY AT THE FIRE SITE FROM AROUND 50 TO 60 PERCENT AT THE HEAD OF THE FIRE TO AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT INLAND AROUND THE TAIL OF THE FIRE. EXPECT SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TOWARD 0400 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. IF THERE IS STEADY RAIN IT WILL NOT LAST LONG...EXITING THE AREA AFTER 1100 ON SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SKIES TO PARTIALLY CLEAR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S IF ENOUGH SUNSHINE OCCURS. IT WILL BE MORE HUMID WITH HUMIDITY VALUES SUNDAY AFTERNOON STAYING AT OR ABOVE 49 PERCENT. WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL STAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (33). MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........43 49 55 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 61 59 RH..............61 59 57 GENERAL WIND DIR..NE NE NE GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.33 32 23 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE EVENING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (17). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.23 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........67 72 77 82 87 92 97 97 98 98 99 99 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............58 57 56 55 54 53 52 52 52 52 51 49 RH..............58 62 65 69 73 76 79 80 81 83 88 94 GENERAL WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 17 18 25 33 38 45 48 50 50 42 36 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (273). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........100 98 96 95 91 88 84 74 64 53 56 59 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............49 51 55 58 60 63 65 69 72 73 73 71 RH..............95 90 83 76 72 69 65 57 51 50 51 57 GENERAL WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.45 79 109 112 83 53 35 113 212 273 218 132 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.5 0.8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120526.DUCKL.02/MQT