FNUS73 KMQT 261004 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 604 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0539 EDT ON MAY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO WILL SLIDE TOWARD JAMES BAY AND QUEBEC TODAY WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THE PLAINS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN RELAXED OVER THE WILDLIFE REFUGE TODAY LEADING TO A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RISE WELL INTO THE 70S WITH HUMIDITY VALUES DIPPING INTO THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. CLOUDS WILL BE SCARCE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MIDDLE TO HIGHER LEVELS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TOWARD 0500 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. IF THERE IS STEADY RAIN IT WILL NOT LAST LONG...EXITING THE AREA AFTER 0900 ON SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SKIES TO PARTIALLY CLEAR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 DEGREES IF ENOUGH SUNSHINE OCCURS. IT WILL BE MORE HUMID WITH HUMIDITY VALUES SUNDAY AFTERNOON STAYING AT OR ABOVE 45 PERCENT. WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL STAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND STAY MAINLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (406). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........23 24 24 25 25 26 26 31 36 41 46 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 52 60 66 72 74 74 75 76 75 75 73 RH..............92 72 55 45 36 34 33 32 31 32 33 35 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.10 34 68 105 189 232 329 343 345 335 380 406 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.7 5.8 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.3 5.8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 17 TO 33 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (3). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.18 TO 0.24 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........55 63 70 77 85 92 99 99 98 98 97 97 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TSM TSM RW RW RW TEMP............73 70 66 62 61 59 57 57 56 54 53 54 RH..............37 40 47 55 58 61 67 69 74 80 82 83 GENERAL WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.413 439 453 405 308 183 60 7 3 33 83 144 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 4.4 3.5 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 34 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 23 TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (561) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (935) BY LATE MORNING. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 TO 0.15 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........97 94 91 88 85 82 79 78 77 75 74 72 WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW TSM TSM RW TEMP............56 61 67 72 77 78 78 79 79 79 79 78 RH..............79 68 57 50 45 45 46 46 46 47 47 49 GENERAL WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.203 306 416 561 713 855 935 909 814 697 572 451 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.9 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120526.PINEC.01/MQT