FNUS73 KMQT 262050 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR WIDGEON CREEK - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 450 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1650 EDT ON MAY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE HAS MOVED PAST THE HEAD OF THE FIRE TO NEAR THE TAIL OF THE FIRE...CREATING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AT THE HEAD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VARY GREATLY BETWEEN THE HEAD AND TAIL OF THE FIRE THROUGH THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL VARY AS WELL WITH AREAS NEAR THE HEAD OF THE FIRE STAYING MAINLY AROUND 60 DEGREES WHILE TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE TAIL OF THE FIRE AND M-123 WILL BE IN THE LOW 70S THIS EVENING. RESULTING HUMIDITIES WILL VARY AT THE FIRE SITE FROM AROUND 50 TO 60 PERCENT AT THE HEAD OF THE FIRE TO AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT INLAND AROUND THE TAIL OF THE FIRE. EXPECT SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL NOT ARRIVE UNTIL TOWARD 0400 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. IF THERE IS STEADY RAIN IT WILL NOT LAST LONG...EXITING THE AREA AFTER 1100 ON SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SKIES TO PARTIALLY CLEAR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S IF ENOUGH SUNSHINE OCCURS. IT WILL BE MORE HUMID WITH HUMIDITY VALUES SUNDAY AFTERNOON STAYING AT OR ABOVE 49 PERCENT. WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL STAY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (258). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........41 46 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............71 68 66 RH..............44 45 45 GENERAL WIND DIR..NE NE NE GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.258 245 177 MIX HGT (KFT)...6.4 4.9 2.9 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE EVENING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 29 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (22). LAL.................1 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3 UNTIL 0400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.22 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........63 68 74 80 86 91 97 97 98 98 99 99 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............64 62 60 59 57 56 55 54 54 54 52 51 RH..............47 52 57 61 66 71 74 77 78 80 86 93 GENERAL WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.102 44 26 25 22 31 45 50 53 53 42 36 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (335). LAL.................4 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2400 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........100 98 96 95 89 84 79 71 63 55 57 60 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............51 53 57 60 63 65 67 72 76 78 77 73 RH..............95 90 81 73 70 67 63 54 47 44 47 54 GENERAL WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.45 77 102 127 155 195 229 283 335 334 314 242 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.1 1.6 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120526.WIDGE.01/MQT