FNUS75 KBOU 281831 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT FALCON FIRE...JEFFERSON COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1215 PM MDT MON MAY 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WATCH OUT FOR OCCASIONAL NORTHWEST WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION...LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS WILL PREDOMINATE THIS AFTERNOON... BUT NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL TRY TO MIX DOWN. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF HAVING OCCASIONAL NORTHWEST WINDS AT LEAST ON THE RIDGES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. DURING THESE PERIODS SPEEDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL PREVAIL BUT GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. TONIGHT AND TUESDAY THE WINDS WILL REVERT TO A MORE TYPICAL LIGHT DIURNAL WIND PATTERN...WITH SOME ENHANCEMENT TO THE EASTERLIES DURING THE DAY. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE MORE WIND TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN STRONGER WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74. MIN HUMIDITY........9-11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7-13 MPH PREVAILING. POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10-20 MPH MIXING DOWN AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING WEST AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........40-48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77. MIN HUMIDITY........13-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 MPH BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER 1400. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 8000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5-10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MOUNT FALCONFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/28-12 23 0 0 66 13 SE 8 8 2 1 W46 10197 W22 191233 E 05/28-13 23 0 0 69 12 SE 8 8 2 1 W45 11178 W22 211009 E 05/28-14 23 0 0 71 11 E 7 7 3 1 W43 12160 W22 230785 E 05/28-15 35 0 0 71 11 E 6 6 3 1 W40 13142 W22 250561 E 05/28-16 35 0 0 71 11 E 7 7 3 1 W39 12528 W21 224623 E 05/28-17 35 0 0 70 12 NE 8 8 3 1 W38 11913 W20 198686 E 05/28-18 27 0 0 67 13 N 8 8 3 1 W37 11299 W17 172749 E 05/28-19 27 0 0 65 15 NE 7 7 3 1 W35 8109 W13 116868 V 05/28-20 12 0 0 58 21 NE 5 5 3 1 W31 4919 NW 8 60987 G 05/28-21 12 0 0 55 25 NE 3 3 3 1 W29 1729 N 3 5106 P 05/28-22 6 0 0 52 29 N 3 3 3 1 W26 1232 NW 3 3631 P 05/28-23 6 0 0 49 34 W 3 3 4 1 W24 735 W 3 2156 P 05/29-00 4 0 0 47 38 W 3 3 4 1 W23 239 W 3 680 P 05/29-01 4 0 0 46 41 W 3 3 3 1 W23 217 W 3 659 P 05/29-02 4 0 0 44 44 W 5 5 3 1 W24 195 W 3 638 P 05/29-03 4 0 0 43 46 W 5 5 2 1 W25 174 W 5 617 P 05/29-04 4 0 0 43 46 W 5 5 2 1 W26 163 W 5 582 P 05/29-05 4 0 0 41 48 W 5 5 2 1 W26 152 W 5 546 P 05/29-06 15 0 0 40 49 W 5 5 2 1 W28 141 SW 5 510 P 05/29-07 15 0 0 44 43 SW 5 5 2 1 W28 1901 SW 6 12918 P 05/29-08 15 0 0 51 33 S 5 5 2 1 W29 3661 SW 7 25325 P 05/29-09 15 0 0 55 29 S 5 5 2 1 W29 5421 SW 8 37733 P 05/29-10 15 0 0 60 25 SE 5 5 2 1 W31 5388 S 9 45915 F 05/29-11 15 0 0 63 23 SE 6 6 2 1 W35 7193 SW10 69731 G 05/29-12 36 5 1 66 21 SE 6 6 2 1 W36 8997 SW12 93547 G 05/29-13 36 5 1 68 21 SE 6 6 2 1 W33 9022 SW10 82544 G 05/29-14 36 5 1 69 20 E 7 7 3 1 W29 9046 SW 9 71541 G 05/29-15 36 5 1 70 20 E 7 7 3 1 W25 9071 SW 8 60538 G 05/29-16 36 5 1 70 20 E 7 7 3 1 W22 7967 S 8 53276 F 05/29-17 36 5 1 69 20 E 7 7 3 1 W21 6863 S 8 46014 F 05/29-18 52 10 2 68 21 E 7 7 3 2 SW18 5760 SE 8 38752 P 05/29-19 52 10 2 66 24 E 6 6 3 2 W17 3926 SE 6 26059 P 05/29-20 52 10 2 62 28 SE 3 3 3 2 W17 2092 SE 5 13365 P 05/29-21 52 10 2 58 33 S 2 2 3 2 W17 258 SE 3 671 P 05/29-22 52 10 2 55 38 S 2 2 3 2 W17 227 S 3 666 P 05/29-23 52 10 2 53 42 SW 3 3 4 2 W18 196 SW 5 661 P 05/30-00 31 7 1 51 45 SW 5 5 4 1 W20 166 SW 5 655 P 05/30-01 31 7 1 49 47 SW 6 6 4 1 W21 151 SW 6 680 P 05/30-02 31 7 1 48 49 SW 6 6 4 1 W22 136 SW 6 706 P 05/30-03 31 7 1 47 50 W 7 7 4 1 W23 122 SW 7 731 P 05/30-04 31 7 1 46 50 W 8 8 4 1 W25 117 W 8 764 P 05/30-05 31 7 1 46 49 W 8 13 4 1 W26 113 W 8 797 P 05/30-06 32 3 1 46 48 W 8 13 4 1 W28 108 W 9 830 P 05/30-07 32 3 1 48 43 W 7 7 4 1 W26 276 W 8 1813 P 05/30-08 32 3 1 53 36 W 7 7 4 1 W25 444 NW 8 2796 P 05/30-09 32 3 1 58 29 NW 6 6 4 1 W26 612 NW 7 3779 P 05/30-10 32 3 1 63 25 NW 6 6 4 1 W29 4148 NW10 60665 G 05/30-11 32 3 1 67 22 NW 7 7 3 1 W32 7683 W14 117551 V 05/30-12 51 3 1 69 20 N 7 7 3 1 W35 11219 W18 174437 E 05/30-13 51 3 1 71 19 N 7 7 3 1 W35 11406 W17 175677 E 05/30-14 51 3 1 72 18 N 8 8 3 1 W33 11593 W17 176916 E 05/30-15 51 3 1 73 18 N 8 13 3 1 W31 11780 W17 178156 E 05/30-16 51 3 1 73 18 N 9 15 3 1 W29 11280 NW17 166880 E 05/30-17 51 3 1 72 19 N10 17 3 1 W26 10781 NW16 155605 E 05/30-18 48 6 1 71 20 N12 18 3 1 W25 10282 NW16 144329 V 05/30-19 48 6 1 69 22 N12 17 3 1 W29 8542 NW14 111917 V 05/30-20 48 6 1 64 26 N10 16 2 1 W32 6803 N13 79506 G 05/30-21 48 6 1 60 31 N 8 14 2 1 W36 5063 N10 47094 F 05/30-22 48 6 1 58 35 N 7 7 2 1 W37 4710 N 8 34126 P 05/30-23 48 6 1 55 40 N 5 5 2 1 W36 4357 N 5 21159 P 05/31-00 35 8 2 53 44 N 3 3 2 1 W35 4005 NW 2 8191 P 05/31-01 35 8 2 52 47 N 3 3 2 1 W35 3430 NW 2 7866 P 05/31-02 35 8 2 50 51 N 3 3 2 1 W35 2855 NW 3 7542 P 05/31-03 35 8 2 49 54 NW 3 3 2 1 NW35 2280 NW 3 7217 P 05/31-04 35 8 2 48 55 NW 3 3 2 1 NW32 1948 W 5 6677 P 05/31-05 35 8 2 48 56 W 5 5 2 1 NW31 1615 W 5 6137 P 05/31-06 35 6 1 48 56 W 5 5 2 1 NW29 1283 W 5 5596 P 05/31-07 35 6 1 50 52 W 5 5 1 05/31-08 35 6 1 54 45 NW 6 6 1 05/31-09 35 6 1 58 39 N 6 6 1 05/31-10 35 6 1 62 34 N 6 6 1 05/31-11 35 6 1 65 31 N 7 7 1 05/31-12 37 15 3 68 29 NE 7 7 3 05/31-13 37 15 3 69 28 NE 7 7 3 05/31-14 37 15 3 70 27 NE 8 13 3 05/31-15 37 15 3 71 27 NE 8 13 3 05/31-16 37 15 3 71 26 NE 8 14 3 05/31-17 37 15 3 70 27 NE 8 14 3 05/31-18 40 7 1 69 29 NE 8 13 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120528.MOUNT.01/BOU