FNUS73 KMQT 282042 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - MIDDLE OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 442 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1641 EDT ON MAY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF BOUNDARIES WILL BE PASSING ACROSS THIS FIRE WITH THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE PUSHING SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND A COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST AS WELL AND AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WILL OCCUR ONCE THE LAKE SUPERIOR BOUNDARY HAS PASSED. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL NOT BE WIDESPREAD. AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS BY EVENING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRETTY MUCH DONE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. WITH THIS ABRUPT WIND SHIFT OCCURRING NEAR THE FIRE...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 60S QUICKLY. SOUTH OF THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE...TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S BEFORE THE TEMPERATURES QUICKLY FALL WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE. COOLER AIR WILL WORK IN FOR TUESDAY THEN. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 38 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (681) DECREASING TO FAIR (144) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................3. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........62 66 70 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 71 64 RH..............51 57 64 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.681 370 144 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.5 0.8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (12). LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........74 68 63 58 60 62 64 62 59 57 57 56 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............62 59 57 56 54 52 51 50 50 50 49 49 RH..............66 75 82 88 91 95 96 97 96 95 97 99 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW N N N S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.39 12 15 25 25 27 28 25 23 25 25 31 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (287). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.06 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........56 54 52 50 54 58 62 68 74 81 80 79 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............49 52 56 59 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 RH..............97 86 71 61 58 58 59 61 63 65 64 64 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 10 10 10 9 9 9 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.50 124 221 287 224 123 55 62 88 105 105 92 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...MICHELS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120528.DUCKL.01/MQT