FNUS73 KMQT 280928 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 528 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0453 EDT ON MAY 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE DUCK LAKE FIRE SITE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID CLOUDS WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS A TROUGH PUSHES INTO CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE FROM 1500 THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 2100 THIS EVENING. RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE TROUGH MAY REACH THE LOWER 80S...THOUGH IF CLOUDS STAY IN PLACE THROUGH THE WHOLE DAY...READINGS WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AND COULD GUST TO 25 MPH. THE MAIN HAZARDS FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...LIGHTNING AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT WHILE TURNING THE WEST. THE SHIFT OF WINDS FROM SOUTH TO WEST WILL BE BETWEEN 1800 AND 2100 THIS EVENING. EXPECT WESTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL REACH AROUND 60 DEGREES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 42 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 34 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 19 TO 38 MPH BY LATE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (496) INCREASING TO GOOD (558) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.11 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........56 55 53 52 57 62 67 67 68 68 67 67 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............57 61 67 72 74 75 76 78 80 79 73 64 RH..............90 77 63 53 50 49 48 44 42 42 49 62 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 10 10 10 16 16 16 13 13 13 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.45 96 175 289 404 496 558 520 416 303 197 109 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 27 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (15). LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.04 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........66 63 60 57 54 51 48 49 49 50 50 51 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 55 54 54 52 50 49 49 49 49 48 48 RH..............75 82 83 83 89 96 98 99 99 99 99 100 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.48 25 17 15 17 21 23 25 30 35 43 48 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 60. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 66 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (53). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.03 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........51 55 58 62 65 69 72 72 72 72 72 72 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............48 51 54 56 56 55 54 54 53 52 51 50 RH..............98 90 82 76 71 68 66 66 67 68 69 69 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.50 53 50 50 48 45 43 36 29 24 22 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120528.DUCKL.02/MQT