FNUS74 KLZK 291201 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONS FORK 1 BLOCK 10...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 701 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD TURN LIGHT SOUTHERLY DAWN...THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST AROUND 2-5 MPH BY MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES FOR THE AREA ARE FAIRLY LOW TODAY...GENERALLY AROUND 15-20 PERCENT. THERE WERE SOME SHOWERS JUST TO NW OF MOUNT IDA AS OF 7AM CDT...BUT EXPECT THOSE WILL PUSH OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND NOT AFFECT THE BURN SITE. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW HOWEVER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........81 AT IGNITION...MAX 88. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 84 86 87 87 87 87 RH..............59 57 54 53 52 51 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 4 4 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 7 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 84 82 79 77 75 74 73 73 72 71 71 RH..............53 55 60 66 70 73 75 77 80 81 83 83 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 .WEDNESDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120529.IRONS.01/LZK