FNUS73 KMQT 290920 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 520 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0442 EDT ON MAY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS COMBINED WITH CONVERGING LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES OFF LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE MICHIGAN COULD DEVELOP MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE DUCK LAKE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASS ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. GENERAL WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH TODAY WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LOWER TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE SITE. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER ON WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP MINIMUM HUMIDITY FROM REACHING BELOW THE 55 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 61. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 34 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 12 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 24 TO 39 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (461) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1182). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........69 63 56 50 50 49 49 62 74 87 79 72 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............50 52 55 57 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 RH..............95 85 74 66 60 57 55 53 51 50 51 52 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.38 69 127 210 254 285 323 461 643 885 10811182 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.4 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH LATE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 29 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (699) DECREASING TO FAIR (198) AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1900 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........65 69 73 77 80 84 88 89 89 90 91 91 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 55 52 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 42 RH..............57 60 67 75 76 78 82 82 85 90 91 89 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 13 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.11651039865 713 699 728 717 607 466 349 251 198 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 45. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 68 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 27 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (581). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........92 90 88 85 83 81 79 69 60 51 24 19 WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............41 42 43 44 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 RH..............91 87 82 78 75 73 72 71 70 70 69 68 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 22 22 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.186 243 336 415 485 529 581 578 545 465 380 290 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.0 1.5 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...VOSS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120529.DUCKL.01/MQT