FNUS73 KMQT 290925 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - MIDDLE OF FIRE...MDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 525 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0443 EDT ON MAY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS COMBINED WITH CONVERGING LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES OFF LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE MICHIGAN COULD DEVELOP MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE DUCK LAKE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASS ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. GENERAL WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH TODAY WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LOWER TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE SITE. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER ON WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP MINIMUM HUMIDITY FROM REACHING BELOW THE 55 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 12 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 24 TO 39 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (325) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1580). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........69 63 56 50 53 57 60 69 78 87 81 74 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............50 53 56 59 61 62 62 63 63 63 63 62 RH..............94 83 71 63 56 53 51 49 47 47 47 48 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.40 135 325 550 744 814 818 902 1004119314241580 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.4 4.5 5.5 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.9 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 90 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 29 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1322) DECREASING TO FAIR (241). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-3200 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........68 71 74 78 81 84 87 88 88 89 90 90 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............59 57 53 49 48 47 45 45 43 42 41 42 RH..............53 57 64 72 73 75 79 80 84 89 90 88 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 11 11 11 13 13 13 12 12 12 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.15781322951 705 672 732 766 679 551 432 332 241 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 4.3 3.2 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 46. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 27 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (672). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-4000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........91 89 86 84 82 79 77 68 59 49 22 17 WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............41 42 43 44 45 45 46 46 46 46 46 45 RH..............90 86 80 77 73 71 70 69 68 68 67 67 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 11 11 11 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.225 270 359 443 541 624 672 672 625 520 412 285 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.6 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...VOSS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120529.DUCKL.02/MQT