FNUS73 KMQT 290932 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 532 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0445 EDT ON MAY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS COMBINED WITH CONVERGING LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES OFF LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE MICHIGAN COULD DEVELOP MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE PINE CREEK FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASS ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR. GENERAL WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH TODAY WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LOWER TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE SITE. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER ON WEDNESDAY WILL KEEP MINIMUM HUMIDITY FROM REACHING BELOW THE 55 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 29 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (442) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1839). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800-10000 FT AGL. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........51 48 46 43 57 70 84 83 83 82 79 75 WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............55 58 62 65 67 68 68 69 69 69 69 68 RH..............85 71 59 50 43 39 37 36 36 37 37 38 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.78 442 868 121014431595168616711699167017981839 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 2.2 4.6 6.7 8.0 8.9 9.4 9.8 10 9.8 9.5 8.8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 88 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 36 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1519) DECREASING TO GOOD (471). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2300-2500 FT AGL. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........72 72 72 72 72 72 72 73 73 74 75 75 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............64 61 56 51 50 48 46 46 44 42 41 42 RH..............43 46 54 64 65 67 72 73 78 85 87 85 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.184815191119784 647 635 667 618 559 516 473 471 MIX HGT (KFT)...7.7 6.1 4.3 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 49. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 27 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (905). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........76 75 75 74 73 73 72 63 53 44 16 12 WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............41 43 45 46 48 48 48 49 49 49 49 48 RH..............88 81 74 69 64 62 61 60 58 58 58 58 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.467 560 629 758 797 856 896 905 846 801 711 587 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.3 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...VOSS REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120529.PINEC.01/MQT