FNUS74 KLIX 310317 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR GB-06N...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1017 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE SETTLING INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 1. PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE MAINLY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING AND FRIDAY MORNING...MORESO FRIDAY MORNING. 2. SEE THAT GUSTS IN FORECAST WERE TOO LOW TODAY AND HAVE ADJUSTED THOSE FOR TOMORROW AS WILL BE SIMILAR WITH NEAR 15 MPH GUSTS IN AFTN. 3. THOSE POINT/CLICK WINDS WERE OBVIOUSLY TOO HIGH. HAVE UPDATED WINDS WHICH NOT INDICATE 3-5 MPH WHICH IS QUITE LIGHT AND LIKELY TO BE VARIABLE AT TIMES. CALM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. 4. REMEMBER THAT THE AFD AND POINT/CLICK 2 DIFFERENT THINGS. THE AFD GENERALLY GIVES FORECASTS AND REASONING FOR OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WHICH COVERS A SPAN OF NEARLY 200 MILES FROM WEST TO EAST. THE HOPE IS THAT THE POINT/CLICK WILL GIVE YOU A MORE EXACT FCST...ESP WITH TIMING OF RAIN. BOTTOM LINE IS THAT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. SHOULD BE AROUND 30 PERCENT THEN. THE GREATEST PROBABILITY WILL BE OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH IS AT LEAST 50 PERCENT. SO...YES...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-2200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 16 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. DEWPOINT............76. TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........52 52 52 41 41 41 41 41 WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............78 76 75 75 74 73 72 71 RH..............82 90 94 94 97 100 100 100 DEWPOINT........72 73 73 73 73 73 72 71 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 13 13 13 13 13 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 DISPERSION......20 20 14 11 11 11 11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. DEWPOINT............72. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........41 35 35 35 47 47 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 77 83 87 88 87 RH..............100 85 65 55 54 55 DEWPOINT........71 72 70 69 69 69 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 S 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1700 3300 3300 5600 3900 MIX HGT (M).....300 520 1010 1010 1710 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 15 W 15 S 15 SW 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 S 7 SW 7 DISPERSION......11 8 10 51 65 60 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 20 30 30 30 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-3100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........WEST 16 TO 20 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. DEWPOINT............72. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........47 52 52 52 67 67 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 83 79 77 76 75 RH..............59 65 77 82 85 90 DEWPOINT........70 70 71 71 71 72 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 7 S 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 5400 3100 3100 1600 1300 MIX HGT (M).....1190 1650 940 940 490 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 S 18 SW 17 SW 17 W 20 W 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 9 W 7 DISPERSION......60 79 42 23 22 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120530.GB06N.02/LIX