FNUS72 KMLB 301015
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP GSC A7 8 9 C7 8...FLORIDA PARK SERIVCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
615 AM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AXIS OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS TODAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
LIFTS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN A DEEP AND
STEADY WEST TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE AND TRANSPORT BREEZE ACROSS THE BURN
SITE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTH BY
LATE AFTERNOON AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TRIES TO FORM. HOWEVER...
THE ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW WILL BE TOO STRONG TO ALLOW A TRUE SEA BREEZE
TO DEVELOP. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
BECOME STRONG AS THEY APPROACH THE COAST. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                   CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                   IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY.......57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....30 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......600-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4600 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...41.
LVORI..............1.

TIME (EDT)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........                SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE.......                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............79  82  85  86  87  88  87  86  85  84  83  81
RH.................77  69  64  61  59  57  58  60  62  65  67  70
20 FT WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD.....9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                   ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                   EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY.......87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3300-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1700 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...7.
LVORI..............5.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY.......58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
                   THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9
                   TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....30 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10
                   TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX...36.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120530.JDSPG.01/MLB