FNUS73 KMQT 300914 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 514 AM EDT WED MAY 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0447 EDT ON MAY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MUCH COOLER AIR MASS HAS SETTLED OVER THE AREA. EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY TO REMAIN IN THE 40S AT THE DUCK LAKE FIRE SITE WITH HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 50 PERCENT. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY WILL BE NORTHWEST GENERAL WINDS GUSTING TO 20 MPH IN WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER THIS MORNING. THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING...BUT HEAVIER SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED. SKIES WILL BE MAINLY CLOUDY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY BUT WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH PATCHY FROST EXPECTED INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR. EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WITH LIGHTER NORTHERLY WINDS AND MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. SOME RAIN MAY OCCUR LATER ON FRIDAY AT THE FIRE...BUT AT THIS POINT IT IS ONLY A LOW CHANCE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 45. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 69 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 27 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (648). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.01 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........89 89 89 88 82 77 71 69 67 66 57 48 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............40 40 41 42 42 42 44 44 44 44 44 45 RH..............100 98 90 87 85 84 79 78 77 76 73 70 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 13 13 13 16 16 16 14 14 14 GENERAL WIND GST..25 25 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 VINDX KT-FT/100.158 260 392 510 543 581 594 633 648 642 633 569 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 37. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 94 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (21). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........40 36 32 28 24 20 15 14 13 12 10 9 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 43 41 39 39 39 39 38 38 38 38 38 RH..............69 75 84 91 91 90 88 89 90 90 93 94 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.481 325 186 72 37 34 45 42 41 40 28 21 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (118). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........8 10 12 14 16 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 44 48 51 52 52 53 53 54 54 54 54 RH..............90 79 67 59 57 56 55 54 53 53 52 52 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.25 43 71 94 102 113 118 109 106 91 69 51 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120530.DUCKL.02/MQT