FNUS73 KMQT 300907 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 507 AM EDT WED MAY 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0445 EDT ON MAY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH READINGS TOPPING OUT AROUND 50 DEGREES. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY WILL BE NORTHWEST GENERAL WINDS GUSTING TO 20 MPH IN WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER THIS MORNING. THERE COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING...BUT HEAVIER SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED. SKIES WILL BE CLOUDY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY BUT WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO VERY CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF FROST EXPECTED. EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WITH LIGHTER NORTHERLY WINDS AND MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. SOME RAIN MAY OCCUR LATER ON FRIDAY AT THE PINE CREEK FIRE SITE...BUT AT THIS POINT IT IS ONLY A LOW CHANCE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 49. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 27 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (910) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (989) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.01 INCH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........86 90 94 98 94 90 87 73 58 44 37 31 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............41 41 44 45 46 47 48 48 49 49 49 48 RH..............88 87 78 74 67 61 55 54 54 54 53 53 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..10 10 10 11 11 11 13 13 13 11 11 11 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.428 508 637 741 856 910 975 989 965 916 885 780 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.6 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST BY MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 33. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING CALM. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (227) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........24 23 22 20 19 18 17 15 14 12 11 10 WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST FST FST TEMP............47 44 41 38 37 37 36 35 34 34 36 39 RH..............55 61 70 78 81 81 81 86 89 91 89 81 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.675 464 227 43 0 8 40 38 35 33 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (463). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4700-5800 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........8 13 17 21 26 30 35 34 34 34 34 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............44 49 54 58 59 59 60 61 61 62 62 59 RH..............71 60 51 46 41 38 35 34 33 32 34 38 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.25 156 323 411 455 462 452 463 460 434 373 254 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.7 3.6 5.1 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.4 4.7 3.6 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120530.PINEC.01/MQT