FNUS73 KMQT 301959 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR WIDGEON CREEK - TAIL OF FIRE...MICHIGAN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 359 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1539 EDT ON MAY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT THROUGH THIS EVENING AS DRY AIR MOVES IN WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE...POSSIBLY ALLOWING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP TO AROUND 67 PERCENT BEFORE SUNSET. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL LEAD TO CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF FROST EXPECTED. EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WITH LIGHTER NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY WINDS AND MAINLY SUNNY SKIES. EXPECT SOME BRIEF GUSTIER WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AS THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE MOVES THROUGH SOMEWHERE BETWEEN LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES MAY FALL TO 32 PERCENT THURSDAY. SOME RAIN MAY OCCUR LATER ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AT THE FIRE SITE...BUT AT THIS POINT IT IS ONLY A CHANCE. EVEN IF IT DOES RAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 25 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (560). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........60 46 38 29 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............45 45 45 44 RH................68 68 67 69 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..13 12 12 12 GENERAL WIND GST..25 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100...560 525 437 360 MIX HGT (KFT).....3.3 3.1 2.7 2.3 HAINES INDEX......3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST BY MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING CALM. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........21 21 22 22 20 17 15 13 11 9 9 8 WEATHER COV....... PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS PTY WEATHER TYPE...... FST FST FST FST FST FST TEMP..............42 40 38 38 37 35 34 33 33 32 32 37 RH................73 79 83 85 86 87 88 97 98 99 99 90 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...260 182 102 53 32 30 38 36 34 33 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX......3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (307). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........8 9 10 11 14 16 19 18 18 17 20 22 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............41 46 52 56 57 58 58 59 60 60 60 58 RH................81 66 53 46 43 40 38 36 34 32 33 38 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...20 120 210 245 257 290 265 307 303 287 251 175 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 1.7 3.5 4.9 5.1 4.8 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.1 3.6 2.9 HAINES INDEX......3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...TITUS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120530.WIDGE.02/MQT