FNUS71 KCTP 011224 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FORESTRY FIRE CAMP...PA DCNR FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 824 AM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1724 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT A SOAKING RAIN AND POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN IN SPOTS TODAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN WILL COME FROM THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL FORM THROUGH THE DAY IN THE WEST AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT...AND BRING IN MUCH COOLER AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1700...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-3700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 33 TO 41 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............68 79 85 85 86 87 88 89 90 90 91 100 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCT TEMP................57 57 58 60 63 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 RH..................75 74 73 70 67 65 66 66 67 67 67 67 20 FT WIND DIR......E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 10 12 12 13 14 15 16 16 17 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....26 29 22 23 24 26 28 30 33 36 39 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 70 70 80 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 HAINES INDEX........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 32 TO 40 MPH...BECOMING WEST 22 TO 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM MIX HGT (KFT).......3.3 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.7 4.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE S S S S S SW SW W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....40 39 38 38 38 37 32 28 23 22 23 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).....80 80 100 100 100 90 90 90 50 50 50 20 LAL.................5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-6100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400-6900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............58 53 50 53 57 59 58 55 54 55 56 57 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 55 55 60 62 63 65 66 67 68 69 68 RH..................88 86 84 69 61 55 50 46 42 41 40 42 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......9 10 12 9 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.7 6.9 6.9 6.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....25 25 25 24 22 21 20 18 17 17 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...MATT REED TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120531.FORES.01/CTP