FNUS74 KLIX 311220 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-02...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 720 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING COLD WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SEABREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND INTENSIFY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. 1. FOG RISK IS VERY LOW TONIGHT...GIVEN THE EXPECTED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. IF ANY FOG FORMS...IT WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND PATCHY AND OCCUR BEFORE MIDNIGHT. 2. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SWEPT THROUGH THE AREA LAST EVENING...AS CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COLLAPSED. THERE COULD BE ANOTHER OUTFLOW SWEEPING THROUGH TONIGHT...IF CONVECTION DEVELOPS OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AGAIN. HOWEVER...A LANDBREEZE IS NOT LIKELY AS THE WIND FIELD INCREASES IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. 3. IT IS VERY HARD TO DETERMINE THE EXACT AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING THAT WILL OCCUR WITH ANY GIVEN THUNDERSTORM. ONE THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE ONLY 5 TO 10 STRIKES PER 5 MINUTES...BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD PRODUCE 50 STRIKES EVERY 5 MINUTES. BE PREPARED FOR VERY FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES THIS AFTERNOON. 4. A SEABREEZE IS HIGHLY LIKELY TODAY...EXPECT GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON TO APPROACH 20 MPH FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF TIME. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 36 36 36 36 48 48 48 48 48 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 80 83 85 87 88 88 88 87 87 RH..............84 73 64 58 53 51 51 51 53 53 DEWPOINT........71 70 70 69 68 68 68 68 68 68 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.9 4.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 6 6 6 9 9 9 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 8 8 DISPERSION......5 5 3 25 25 50 50 37 76 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........48 53 53 53 53 53 53 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 85 83 81 79 78 78 77 76 76 75 75 RH..............56 58 62 68 73 75 76 79 82 82 84 84 DEWPOINT........69 69 69 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 4.3 4.3 4.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 17 17 17 12 12 12 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 9 9 8 8 8 5 5 5 7 7 DISPERSION......76 76 76 76 46 49 8 5 5 5 7 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 .FRIDAY... TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........68 73 73 73 73 73 73 70 70 70 70 70 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............74 75 78 81 84 86 87 88 88 88 87 85 RH..............84 82 71 63 55 50 46 45 47 48 53 57 DEWPOINT........69 69 68 67 66 65 64 64 65 66 67 68 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 20 20 17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 DISPERSION......11 13 13 13 12 68 68 65 65 65 60 60 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120531.CPTG0.01/LIX