FNUS74 KMOB 311129 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR RUNWAY FIRE...EGLIN.AFBASE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 629 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0617 CDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME PREDOMINATELY SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MOST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE GOOD. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY...DECREASING IN THE AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT AFFECTS THE AREA WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 59 THIS AFTERNOON. LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........46 37 37 37 41 41 WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............75 78 83 86 87 87 RH................89 79 67 60 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR....NE W SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....2 5 10 11 11 12 20 FT WIND GUST... 16 17 18 20 MIX HGT (FT)......800 1700 3200 4600 5300 5300 MIX HGT (M).......240 520 980 1400 1620 1620 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW W W SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD...8 10 16 17 17 18 TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 4 7 8 8 8 DISPERSION........5 24 44 63 61 63 LVORI.............6 3 1 1 1 1 CWR...............20 20 20 40 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....55 DECREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 4. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)...........41 46 46 46 52 52 WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............85 81 78 77 76 75 RH................61 70 79 84 86 88 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....12 12 10 10 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST...20 21 17 17 15 12 MIX HGT (FT)......4700 3200 1600 800 800 800 MIX HGT (M).......1430 980 490 240 240 240 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD...18 20 20 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S)...8 9 9 9 9 9 DISPERSION........59 56 23 19 19 17 LVORI.............1 3 3 4 4 4 CWR...............40 40 40 40 40 40 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 18 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 43. LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........52 95 95 95 84 84 WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............74 77 81 84 85 85 RH................91 82 71 64 61 61 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....6 7 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST...12 14 16 17 18 17 MIX HGT (FT)......800 1400 2600 3700 4100 3600 MIX HGT (M).......240 430 790 1130 1250 1100 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW W W TRANSP WIND SPD...18 17 16 16 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S)...8 8 7 7 7 7 DISPERSION........16 21 32 43 46 43 LVORI.............4 3 3 1 1 1 CWR...............40 60 60 60 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...34 REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120531.RUNWA.01/MOB