FNUS73 KMQT 311954 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - MIDDLE OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 354 PM EDT THU MAY 31 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1534 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT LIGHT WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BRINGING MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO THE FIRE. MODELS HAVE NOW COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT AND THE LATEST THINKING IS THAT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE MORE LIKELY OVER THE FIRE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER TO HALF INCH POSSIBLE. SATURDAY WILL ALSO BRING NORTHWEST WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (235). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........13 16 16 16 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............56 55 53 53 RH................41 44 48 48 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...235 215 167 105 MIX HGT (KFT).....2.3 2.2 1.9 1.5 HAINES INDEX......5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING CALM...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (7). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........16 21 25 30 32 33 35 45 56 66 67 67 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............51 48 44 40 39 39 40 39 39 39 40 43 RH................52 60 71 82 85 85 84 86 88 89 87 80 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 GENERAL WIND GST..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...67 46 23 13 7 8 13 15 19 28 31 41 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX......5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (106). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........68 71 74 77 80 83 86 88 90 93 95 97 WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP..............46 50 53 56 56 56 56 56 56 55 54 54 RH................71 64 58 54 53 53 53 53 54 55 55 56 GENERAL WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...54 79 95 106 100 97 82 80 79 77 79 90 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...TITUS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120531.DUCKL.04/MQT