FNUS71 KCTP 011652 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR FORESTRY FIRE CAMP DAY 2...PA DCNR FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1252 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1235 EDT ON JUNE 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT NUMEROUS HEAVY SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE DISTRICT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE... WITH LOCALIZED 3 INCH AMOUNTS IN PLACES THAT SEE SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG...AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS....ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS...EAST INTO THE LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT...AND BRING IN MUCH COOLER AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 26 TO 31 MPH...INCREASING TO 36 TO 43 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............88 89 90 90 91 100 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT LKY LKY DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................65 67 68 69 70 71 RH..................66 67 67 67 67 67 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......14 15 16 16 17 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 25 25 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....26 29 31 36 40 43 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 70 70 80 80 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 39 TO 45 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 29 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING WEST 21 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 77 74 67 64 WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC TEMP................70 69 66 65 64 63 62 61 59 58 57 55 RH..................71 76 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 87 89 90 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD......16 16 15 14 12 10 8 8 7 7 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.1 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE S S S S SW SW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....45 45 43 39 35 29 25 22 21 21 23 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).....80 80 100 100 100 90 90 90 50 50 50 20 LAL.................5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............58 53 50 53 57 59 58 55 54 56 59 62 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 55 58 60 62 64 65 66 67 68 69 68 RH..................88 86 74 67 60 54 50 45 42 41 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.7 4.9 5.2 5.7 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W SW W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....25 25 24 23 23 22 21 21 20 18 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...MATT REED TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120601.FORES.01/CTP