FNUS75 KBOU 040226 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HWY 103...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 825 PM MDT SUN JUN 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER COLORADO MONDAY. A LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL THEN DEVELOP BY TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIDE EASTWARD. THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WILL BE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW HUMIDITIES...AND A FEW AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE LIMITED BY THE WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT. HOWEVER...GUSTY AND VARIABLE OUTFLOW WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY PASSING SHOWERS OR STORMS. THERE ARE JUST A COUPLE SHOWERS IN THE AREA THIS EVENING BUT THEY WILL BE PASSING JUST TO THE EAST OF THE BURN SITE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0100...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52. MAX HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN WEST 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR BY 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HW 103. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/03-20 70 10 4 68 30 SE10 16 2 2 NW18 7790 W 9 72130 G 06/03-21 70 10 4 65 33 S10 16 2 2 NW16 5533 W 8 39292 P 06/03-22 52 8 2 62 36 S10 16 2 1 NW14 4180 W 8 29513 P 06/03-23 52 8 2 60 38 SW10 16 2 1 NW10 2826 W 8 19733 P 06/04-00 52 6 1 59 40 W10 16 2 1 N 8 1473 W 8 9954 P 06/04-01 22 6 1 57 41 W10 15 2 1 N 6 1063 W 8 7126 P 06/04-02 22 6 1 56 43 W 9 9 2 1 N 6 654 W 7 4298 P 06/04-03 22 6 1 54 44 W 8 8 2 1 N 6 244 W 7 1470 P 06/04-04 22 6 1 54 43 W 7 7 2 1 N 7 241 W 6 1247 P 06/04-05 22 6 1 54 41 W 6 6 2 1 N 8 239 W 5 1025 P 06/04-06 22 6 1 54 41 W 5 5 2 1 NE 8 236 W 3 802 P 06/04-07 29 7 1 56 40 SW 3 3 2 1 NE 8 1867 W 5 10782 P 06/04-08 29 7 1 59 39 S 3 3 2 1 E 8 3499 S 6 20761 P 06/04-09 29 7 1 62 36 SE 5 5 2 1 E 8 5130 SE 7 30741 P 06/04-10 51 17 3 66 32 SE 8 8 2 3 E 8 6221 SE 8 48729 F 06/04-11 51 17 3 68 29 SE12 18 2 3 SE 8 7311 SE10 66717 G 06/04-12 51 17 3 70 26 SE14 22 2 3 SE 9 8402 SE12 84705 G 06/04-13 51 17 3 71 25 SE14 22 2 3 SE 9 9052 SE13 100634 V 06/04-14 63 25 5 72 24 SE14 22 2 3 SE10 9701 SE14 116562 V 06/04-15 63 25 5 72 23 SE14 22 2 3 SE10 10351 SE15 132491 V 06/04-16 63 25 5 73 24 SE12 20 2 3 SE10 9725 SE15 127195 V 06/04-17 63 25 5 72 25 SE12 20 2 3 S 9 9099 SE15 121899 V 06/04-18 46 30 9 70 27 SE12 20 2 4 S10 8471 S16 116570 V 06/04-19 46 30 9 68 29 SE12 18 2 4 S12 6823 S15 92601 G 06/04-20 46 30 9 64 33 S10 15 2 4 S14 5175 S15 68631 G 06/04-21 46 30 9 60 38 S 8 13 2 4 S17 3527 S15 44662 F 06/04-22 46 30 9 59 41 S 7 7 2 4 S24 2435 S13 30518 P 06/04-23 46 30 9 56 48 S 6 6 2 4 S30 1343 S12 16373 P 06/05-00 30 4 1 54 56 S 6 6 2 1 S33 252 S10 2229 P 06/05-01 30 4 1 52 62 SW 6 6 2 1 S30 236 S10 2154 P 06/05-02 30 4 1 50 68 SW 7 7 2 1 S23 221 SW10 2080 P 06/05-03 30 4 1 49 70 SW 7 7 2 1 S16 205 SW12 2006 P 06/05-04 30 4 1 49 71 SW 7 7 2 1 S12 197 SW10 1866 P 06/05-05 30 4 1 47 76 SW 8 8 2 1 S 7 189 SW10 1725 P 06/05-06 34 4 1 47 77 SW 8 8 2 1 S 5 182 SW10 1584 P 06/05-07 34 4 1 52 62 SW 8 8 2 1 S 5 2024 SW 9 14566 P 06/05-08 34 4 1 60 45 SW 7 7 2 1 S 6 3866 SW 9 27548 P 06/05-09 34 4 1 67 34 SW 7 7 2 1 S 8 5707 SW 8 40530 F 06/05-10 34 4 1 73 27 SW 7 7 2 1 S10 8432 SW 9 77356 G 06/05-11 34 4 1 76 24 S 6 6 2 1 SW14 11156 SW12 114182 V 06/05-12 55 23 5 77 22 S 6 6 2 3 SW17 13881 SW13 151008 E 06/05-13 55 23 5 73 25 S 6 6 2 3 SW20 12973 S14 155435 E 06/05-14 55 23 5 75 23 SE 6 6 2 3 SW22 12065 S15 159862 E 06/05-15 55 23 5 75 23 SE 6 6 2 3 SW22 11157 S17 164289 E 06/05-16 55 23 5 76 22 S 6 6 2 3 SW20 11142 S14 133848 V 06/05-17 55 23 5 77 22 S 5 5 2 3 SW16 11128 SW10 103407 V 06/05-18 50 16 3 76 23 SW 5 5 2 3 SW14 11114 SW 8 72966 G 06/05-19 50 16 3 74 25 SW 5 5 2 3 SW17 8771 SW12 69809 G 06/05-20 50 16 3 68 31 SW 6 6 2 3 W22 6428 SW15 66651 G 06/05-21 50 16 3 64 36 SW 7 7 2 3 W25 4085 SW18 63494 G 06/05-22 50 16 3 60 42 SW 7 7 2 3 W25 2840 SW16 43659 F 06/05-23 50 16 3 57 47 SW 8 8 2 3 SW24 1594 SW15 23824 P 06/06-00 17 4 1 54 51 SW 8 8 2 1 SW22 349 SW13 3988 P 06/06-01 17 4 1 52 54 SW 8 8 2 1 SW22 287 SW12 3123 P 06/06-02 17 4 1 50 56 W 8 8 3 1 SW21 225 W10 2258 P 06/06-03 17 4 1 49 55 W 8 8 3 1 SW20 164 W10 1393 P 06/06-04 17 4 1 49 54 W 8 8 3 1 SW18 156 W 9 1242 P 06/06-05 17 4 1 47 56 W 8 8 3 1 SW17 147 W 8 1090 P 06/06-06 8 9 2 46 57 W 8 8 3 1 SW16 139 W 8 938 P 06/06-07 8 9 2 51 46 SW 7 7 3 1 SW15 1994 SW 8 12711 P 06/06-08 8 9 2 59 34 S 5 5 2 1 SW14 3848 S 7 24483 P 06/06-09 8 9 2 66 26 S 3 3 2 1 SW14 5702 S 7 36256 P 06/06-10 8 9 2 72 21 S 3 3 2 1 SW15 8670 S10 88797 G 06/06-11 8 9 2 75 19 SE 5 5 2 1 SW17 11637 S13 141338 V 06/06-12 52 26 6 77 18 SE 6 6 2 4 SW18 14605 S15 193879 E 06/06-13 52 26 6 72 21 SE 8 8 2 4 SW21 14009 S16 197936 E 06/06-14 52 26 6 74 21 SE 9 9 2 4 SW23 13413 S17 201993 E 06/06-15 52 26 6 74 21 SE10 10 2 4 SW25 12817 S18 206050 E 06/06-16 52 26 6 75 21 E 8 8 2 4 S25 12401 S18 193496 E 06/06-17 52 26 6 77 21 E 6 6 2 4 S26 11986 SE17 180942 E 06/06-18 58 26 6 75 23 E 2 2 2 4 S25 11570 SE17 168388 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MAJOR ALBERS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120603.HWY10.01/BOU