FNUS75 KBOU 042315 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART HOLE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 503 PM MDT MON JUN 4 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...BREEZY CONDITIONS...AND LOW HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THEN WINDS WILL DECREASE WITH HUMIDITIES GRADUALLY IMPROVING. THE CHANCE OF ANY MEASURABLE RAIN LOOKS QUITE SLIM AS STORMS ARE WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN THERE THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENING. ANOTHER DAY OF VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE SHOULD BE SOME INCREASE IN HUMIDITY COMPARED TO TODAY AS A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE LEADS TO MORE CLOUD COVER AND A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH. A WEAK FRONT MAY BACK INTO THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A SHIFT TO MORE EASTERLY WINDS POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WOULD ALSO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-85. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54. MAX HUMIDITY........58-64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80. MIN HUMIDITY........18-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 32 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STUART HOLE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/04-17 68 18 4 77 19 SE18 28 4 3 SE12 9072 SE16 126602 V 06/04-18 49 19 4 75 20 SE17 26 4 3 SE14 8223 S20 136167 V 06/04-19 49 19 4 72 23 S14 22 4 3 SE14 5593 S16 91707 G 06/04-20 49 19 4 67 29 S10 16 3 3 SE14 2963 S13 47247 F 06/04-21 49 19 4 63 36 S 8 8 3 3 S15 333 S 9 2787 P 06/04-22 49 19 4 61 41 S 8 8 3 3 S20 294 S10 2544 P 06/04-23 49 19 4 59 45 S 7 7 3 3 S24 255 S10 2301 P 06/05-00 29 6 1 57 50 S 8 8 3 1 S26 216 SE12 2058 P 06/05-01 29 6 1 55 55 S 8 8 3 1 S24 212 SE12 2199 P 06/05-02 29 6 1 53 59 S 8 8 3 1 S20 207 S13 2339 P 06/05-03 26 6 1 52 60 S 8 8 3 1 S15 203 S14 2479 P 06/05-04 26 6 1 52 61 S 8 8 3 1 S13 200 S14 2376 P 06/05-05 26 6 1 52 62 S 9 9 3 1 S13 198 S13 2273 P 06/05-06 23 3 1 53 58 S 9 9 3 1 S13 195 S13 2169 P 06/05-07 23 3 1 58 49 S 9 9 3 1 S13 677 S15 10175 P 06/05-08 23 3 1 64 39 S10 15 3 1 S13 1159 S16 18180 P 06/05-09 23 3 1 69 32 S15 22 3 1 S14 1640 S18 26185 P 06/05-10 23 3 1 72 29 S15 23 3 1 S14 4171 S17 56056 F 06/05-11 23 3 1 78 26 SE16 24 3 1 SW14 6702 S16 85926 G 06/05-12 73 30 9 78 22 SE17 26 3 4 SW16 9233 S15 115797 V 06/05-13 73 30 9 78 20 SE20 29 3 4 SW20 9545 S16 132732 V 06/05-14 73 30 9 77 21 SE21 31 2 4 SW23 9857 S17 149666 V 06/05-15 73 30 9 75 24 SE22 33 2 4 SW25 10169 S18 166601 E 06/05-16 73 30 9 75 24 SE21 31 2 4 SW23 9466 S20 160012 E 06/05-17 73 30 9 74 24 SE20 29 3 4 SW20 8763 S21 153424 E 06/05-18 62 20 4 73 25 S18 28 3 3 SW17 8060 S21 146835 V 06/05-19 62 20 4 70 28 S20 31 3 3 SW22 5928 S23 110899 V 06/05-20 62 20 4 66 33 S21 33 3 3 SW26 3796 S25 74963 G 06/05-21 44 10 2 62 39 S21 33 3 2 SW30 1664 S26 39027 P 06/05-22 44 10 2 59 45 S20 31 3 2 SW35 1186 S23 27048 P 06/05-23 44 10 2 56 49 S17 28 3 2 SW37 708 S20 15070 P 06/06-00 19 0 0 54 53 S15 24 3 1 SW38 231 S15 3092 P 06/06-01 19 0 0 52 56 S13 21 3 1 SW36 200 S14 2471 P 06/06-02 19 0 0 51 59 SW12 18 4 1 SW32 170 SW12 1850 P 06/06-03 19 0 0 49 60 W10 16 4 1 SW30 139 W10 1230 P 06/06-04 19 0 0 49 59 W12 18 4 1 SW30 153 W12 1537 P 06/06-05 19 0 0 48 57 W13 21 4 1 SW32 167 W13 1845 P 06/06-06 20 0 0 48 54 W14 22 4 1 SW33 181 W14 2153 P 06/06-07 20 0 0 51 47 W12 18 4 1 SW32 766 W12 5868 P 06/06-08 20 0 0 55 39 W 9 14 4 1 SW31 1351 SW10 9583 P 06/06-09 20 0 0 60 32 W 7 7 4 1 SW30 1936 SW 8 13298 P 06/06-10 20 0 0 64 26 SW 8 13 4 1 SW31 4287 SW10 48162 F 06/06-11 20 0 0 67 23 S10 16 3 1 SW33 6638 S13 83026 G 06/06-12 66 30 9 70 21 SE13 21 3 4 SW35 8989 S15 117890 V 06/06-13 66 30 9 71 20 SE14 22 3 4 SW32 9847 S15 127812 V 06/06-14 66 30 9 72 20 SE15 23 3 4 SW30 10706 S15 137734 V 06/06-15 66 30 9 73 21 SE15 24 3 4 SW28 11564 S15 147655 V 06/06-16 66 30 9 73 21 SE15 23 3 4 SW25 11193 S14 136996 V 06/06-17 66 30 9 73 23 SE14 22 3 4 SW22 10822 S14 126336 V 06/06-18 66 30 9 71 26 SE13 21 3 4 SW21 10450 S13 115677 V 06/06-19 66 30 9 69 29 E10 17 3 4 SW21 7931 S12 85214 G 06/06-20 66 30 9 65 36 E 8 14 3 4 SW23 5411 SE10 54751 F 06/06-21 66 30 9 60 45 E 7 7 3 4 SW25 2891 E 9 24288 P 06/06-22 66 30 9 58 52 NE 7 7 3 4 SW28 2047 E10 17260 P 06/06-23 66 30 9 55 58 NE 8 13 3 4 SW31 1203 NE10 10233 P 06/07-00 39 5 1 53 64 NE 9 15 3 1 SW35 358 NE10 3205 P 06/07-01 39 5 1 52 68 N 9 15 3 1 SW38 347 N10 3052 P 06/07-02 39 5 1 50 72 NW 9 15 3 1 SW41 336 NW10 2898 P 06/07-03 39 5 1 49 75 NW 9 15 3 1 SW44 324 NW 9 2744 P 06/07-04 39 5 1 48 74 NW 9 15 3 1 SW45 300 NW10 2755 P 06/07-05 39 5 1 48 73 W 9 15 3 1 SW44 275 W12 2766 P 06/07-06 36 5 1 48 70 W 9 15 3 1 SW43 251 W13 2777 P 06/07-07 36 5 1 50 61 W 9 14 3 1 SW40 1183 W13 12879 P 06/07-08 36 5 1 55 48 W 8 14 3 1 SW38 2115 W13 22981 P 06/07-09 36 5 1 60 38 W 8 13 3 1 SW37 3047 W13 33083 P 06/07-10 36 5 1 65 31 W 8 8 3 1 SW36 6068 W14 81598 G 06/07-11 36 5 1 69 26 W 7 7 3 1 SW35 9090 W15 130113 V 06/07-12 56 22 4 72 23 SW 7 7 3 3 SW35 12111 SW17 178627 E 06/07-13 56 22 4 73 21 SW 7 7 3 3 SW32 12431 SW15 165720 E 06/07-14 56 22 4 74 20 SW 7 7 3 3 SW31 12751 SW14 152813 E 06/07-15 56 22 4 75 20 S 7 7 3 3 W30 13071 SW13 139906 V 06/07-16 56 22 4 75 20 S 7 7 3 3 W30 12299 SW13 137793 V 06/07-17 56 22 4 75 21 S 7 7 2 3 W32 11527 SW14 135680 V 06/07-18 54 19 4 73 22 S 7 7 2 3 W35 10754 SW14 133567 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLOSE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120604.STUAR.02/BOU