FNUS72 KJAX 041217
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-19 DELANCEY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
817 AM EDT MON JUN 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE MIDDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SOUTH OF
THE AREA AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO GEORGIA. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
NEAR CRITICAL VALUES. HOWEVER THE ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT REMAINS
LOW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 16 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 81 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 63 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     10     13     15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     92     95     95     93
RH..............63     48     38     37     43
20 FT WIND......W 9    W 13   W 16   W 18   W 18
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   5000   6000   5900   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   W 20   W 20   W 20   SW 22

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 16
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....68 INCREASING TO 90 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 79 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 66 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 53
                    DECREASING TO 19 AFTER MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO
                    11.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........15     22     33     50     64     73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............91     85     81     78     76     74
RH..............43     56     69     79     89     94
20 FT WIND......W 17   W 13   W 12   W 10   SW 9   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20                   10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   3300   2100   1400   800    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22  W 26   SW 25  SW 20  SW 13  W 10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 61.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE STRANGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120604.C19DE.01/JAX