FNUS75 KPUB 041429
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LJ RIFLE CLUB BURN II...LA JUNTA FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
829 AM MDT MON JUN 4 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE REGION LEADING TO HOT TEMPERATURES.  UNDER
THE HIGH...A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  THIS WILL TURN
FLOW SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING AND INCREASE SPEEDS BY THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.  THIS DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO TRIGGER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING.  VARIABLE OUTFLOW
WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40-50 MPH ONCE THUNDERSTORMS INITIATE.
GIVEN THE HIGHER DEW POINTS ACROSS THE REGION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
PRODUCE WETTING RAINS AS THEY PASS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 22 PH AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 1000. 13500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120604.LJRIF.01/PUB