FNUS75 KBOU 061027 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART HOLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 427 AM MDT WED JUN 6 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING CAUSING WINDS TO BE NORTHERLY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. WINDS TAPER OFF QUICKLY BEHIND IT EARLY THIS MORNING AND BE IN THE 7 TO 14 MPH RANGE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER AND HUMIDITIES BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TODAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TODAY FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 1500 AND 2100 HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7-14 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN NORTHEAST WINDS 7-14 MPH UNTIL 1200. EAST TO SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9800-10800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY FOG AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0900. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12200-13200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STUART HOLE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/06-03 19 0 0 54 72 W 9 9 4 1 S37 235 W 9 1879 P 06/06-04 19 0 0 52 76 NW 9 10 4 1 S36 245 W10 2158 P 06/06-05 19 0 0 51 77 NW 9 10 4 1 S35 255 W10 2438 P 06/06-06 14 0 0 51 76 NW 9 9 4 1 S33 266 W12 2718 P 06/06-07 14 0 0 56 56 NW 7 7 4 1 S32 1937 W12 20950 P 06/06-08 14 0 0 63 38 N 5 5 4 1 SW32 3608 SW13 39182 P 06/06-09 14 0 0 68 29 N 3 3 4 1 SW32 5279 SW13 57414 F 06/06-10 14 0 0 72 27 NE 5 5 3 1 S31 7004 SW13 81488 G 06/06-11 14 0 0 75 28 E 8 8 3 1 S31 8728 S14 105562 V 06/06-12 49 17 3 76 30 E10 10 2 3 S29 10453 S14 129635 V 06/06-13 49 17 3 78 29 E12 12 2 3 S26 10617 S14 128864 V 06/06-14 49 17 3 78 30 SE13 13 2 3 SW22 10782 S14 128093 V 06/06-15 56 36 14 76 33 SE13 13 2 4 SW20 10947 S14 127321 V 06/06-16 56 36 14 76 33 SE13 13 2 4 SW20 10339 S14 124699 V 06/06-17 56 36 14 76 34 SE12 12 2 4 SW22 9731 S15 122078 V 06/06-18 58 43 20 74 36 SE10 10 2 4 SW23 9123 S15 119456 V 06/06-19 58 43 20 71 43 E 9 9 2 4 SW24 7363 S16 100197 V 06/06-20 58 43 20 68 51 E 9 9 2 4 SW26 5603 SE17 80938 G 06/06-21 58 43 20 64 61 E 8 8 2 4 SW28 3843 SE18 61679 G 06/06-22 58 43 20 62 68 E 7 7 2 4 SW29 3176 SE21 53913 F 06/06-23 58 43 20 60 73 E 6 6 2 4 SW29 2510 SE22 46147 F 06/07-00 61 6 1 59 76 SE 5 5 2 1 SW29 1843 SE24 38381 P 06/07-01 61 6 1 56 83 SE 6 6 2 1 SW28 1398 SE22 28111 P 06/07-02 61 6 1 54 89 SE 7 7 3 1 SW25 953 SE20 17840 P 06/07-03 61 6 1 51 95 SE 7 7 3 1 SW24 508 SE17 7569 P 06/07-04 61 6 1 50 100 S 6 6 3 1 SW24 473 SE15 6094 P 06/07-05 61 6 1 49 100 W 3 3 4 1 SW25 439 SE12 4620 P 06/07-06 39 0 0 50 98 CALM 1 4 1 SW26 404 SE 9 3145 P 06/07-07 39 0 0 55 79 CALM 1 4 1 SW28 1884 S10 22126 P 06/07-08 39 0 0 63 58 CALM 1 4 1 SW28 3364 S13 41107 F 06/07-09 39 0 0 69 45 CALM 1 4 1 SW29 4844 SW14 60088 G 06/07-10 39 0 0 73 36 E 2 2 4 1 SW21 9117 SW12 93858 G 06/07-11 39 0 0 75 30 SE 3 3 3 1 SW18 11244 W13 123994 V 06/07-12 61 23 5 77 27 S 5 5 3 3 W17 13372 W14 154130 E 06/07-13 61 23 5 79 26 SE 6 6 3 3 W16 13232 W12 134647 V 06/07-14 61 23 5 79 27 E 8 13 3 3 W16 13092 W10 115164 V 06/07-15 61 23 5 77 29 E 9 15 3 3 W16 12951 W 8 95681 G 06/07-16 61 23 5 77 27 E10 16 3 3 W15 12364 W 6 69357 G 06/07-17 61 23 5 77 25 E10 17 2 3 W15 11776 NW 3 43034 F 06/07-18 53 15 3 75 25 E10 16 2 3 W15 11188 CALM 16710 P 06/07-19 53 15 3 72 29 SE10 16 2 3 W16 9311 N 3 23315 P 06/07-20 53 15 3 69 33 SE 9 15 2 3 W18 7434 E 6 29919 P 06/07-21 53 15 3 65 39 SE 8 13 2 3 W20 5556 SE 8 36523 P 06/07-22 53 15 3 62 44 SE 6 6 2 3 W22 4145 SE 8 27374 P 06/07-23 53 15 3 61 49 S 5 5 2 3 SW24 2734 SE 8 18226 P 06/08-00 15 0 0 59 54 S 3 3 2 1 SW24 1323 SE 8 9077 P 06/08-01 15 0 0 56 61 S 3 3 2 1 SW24 957 S 7 6472 P 06/08-02 15 0 0 53 66 S 5 5 2 1 SW23 592 S 7 3868 P 06/08-03 15 0 0 52 70 S 6 6 2 1 SW22 226 S 7 1263 P 06/08-04 15 0 0 50 73 S 5 5 2 1 SW21 217 S 6 1086 P 06/08-05 15 0 0 49 72 SW 5 5 3 1 W20 208 SW 5 909 P 06/08-06 14 5 1 50 68 SW 3 3 3 1 W18 199 SW 5 731 P 06/08-07 14 5 1 55 53 SW 3 3 3 1 W18 2411 SW 6 20683 P 06/08-08 14 5 1 64 36 SW 5 5 3 1 W18 4623 SW 8 40634 F 06/08-09 14 5 1 71 27 S 5 5 3 1 W18 6834 SW10 60586 G 06/08-10 14 5 1 76 22 S 5 5 3 1 W18 8256 SW10 78377 G 06/08-11 14 5 1 79 19 S 6 6 3 1 W18 9678 SW12 96169 G 06/08-12 33 5 1 80 17 S 6 6 3 1 W20 11100 SW12 113961 V 06/08-13 33 5 1 83 15 S 7 7 3 1 W20 11251 SW13 122919 V 06/08-14 33 5 1 83 15 S 8 13 2 1 W20 11402 SW14 131877 V 06/08-15 33 5 1 80 16 S 9 15 2 1 W21 11552 SW14 140835 V 06/08-16 33 5 1 81 16 S10 16 2 1 W21 10438 SW14 126731 V 06/08-17 33 5 1 80 16 S10 17 3 1 W22 9324 SW14 112626 V 06/08-18 18 3 1 78 17 S10 16 3 1 W23 8210 SW14 98522 G 06/08-19 18 3 1 75 19 S 9 15 3 1 W24 5660 SW13 67280 G 06/08-20 18 3 1 71 22 SW 8 13 4 1 SW26 3110 SW12 36039 P 06/08-21 18 3 1 67 25 SW 7 7 4 1 SW29 560 SW10 4798 P 06/08-22 18 3 1 64 27 SW 6 6 4 1 SW31 458 SW 9 3737 P 06/08-23 18 3 1 62 29 SW 6 6 3 1 SW33 357 SW 8 2676 P 06/09-00 12 4 1 60 31 SW 6 6 3 1 SW35 255 SW 7 1615 P 06/09-01 12 4 1 57 33 SW 6 6 3 1 SW36 217 SW 8 1424 P 06/09-02 12 4 1 54 34 SW 7 7 3 1 SW36 179 SW 8 1234 P 06/09-03 12 4 1 52 35 W 8 8 3 1 SW35 140 SW 8 1043 P 06/09-04 12 4 1 50 36 W 9 9 3 1 SW35 142 SW 9 1162 P 06/09-05 12 4 1 49 36 W 9 9 3 1 SW35 145 W10 1282 P 06/09-06 9 4 1 50 35 W10 10 3 1 SW35 147 W12 1401 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120605.STUAR.02/BOU