FNUS75 KBYZ 052256
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SE MELSTONE...DNRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
456 PM MDT TUE JUN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1630 MDT ON JUNE 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS EVENING...WITH A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT...

SOUTHEAST WINDS AT THE FIRE SITE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IS
EXPECTED AROUND MIDNIGHT AT THE FIRE SITE. WINDS WILL SWITCH
WEST...AND RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS MAY
ALSO VARY WITH OUTFLOW FROM AREA STORMS...WHICH CAN EXTEND FAR
FROM THE ACTUAL STORM. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS EVENING...AS
THE DISTURBANCE MOVES EASTWARD. RH VALUES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER
TONIGHT UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH
COOLER WEDNESDAY AT THE FIRE SITE...RH VALUES ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO RETURN TO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL TURN MORE NORTHWEST
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND SLOWLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THE DAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
                    WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AROUND MIDNIGHT INCREASING
                    TO 20 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 30 TO 45 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD
REQUESTED BY...JACKSON OBRIEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120605.SEMEL.01/BYZ