FNUS72 KMLB 051145
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT DRUM...SJRWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
745 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL KEEP
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL PROVIDE
AN ELEVATED LOW LEVEL WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WHICH WILL INCREASE
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA AND PREVENT THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FROM
DEVELOPING LATER TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP INTO MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD
TOWARD THE EAST COAST. NO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONCERNS EXPECTED
TODAY...HOWEVER GUSTY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS MAY CREATE
CONTROL ISSUES WITH ANY BURNS LATER IN THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                    TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  84  85  86  87  86  86  85  83  81  80  78
RH..............73  67  64  62  59  60  60  61  63  66  68  72
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  13  14  15  15  15  14  13  12  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.    15  20  20  20  20  20  20  15          10

.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............5.

.WEDNESDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...DOUG VOLTOINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120605.FORTD.01/MLB