FNUS73 KMQT 050933 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - MIDDLE OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 533 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0448 EDT ON JUNE 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING TO GIVE WAY TO A LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH TOWARDS MID DAY. THIS LAKE BREEZE WILL LEAD TO A STABILIZING INFLUENCE AND PRODUCE A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AFTER A FEW HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD FALL TO SIMILAR VALUES AS YESTERDAY...AROUND 55-60 PERCENT...DUE TO THE CLOSER PROXIMITY TO LAKE SUPERIOR. REMNANT CLOUDS COULD DROP OVER THE BURN SITE THIS EVENING FROM SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP JUST EAST OF LAKE SUPERIOR IN ONTARIO. THEY SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE NIGHT AND ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO NEAR 90 PERCENT. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON WED AND THURSDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S...LIGHT LAKE SUPERIOR BREEZE...AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FROM 50 TO 55 PERCENT. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT AT THIS TIME THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 20 MPH. STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (16). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........32 32 31 31 31 31 31 25 20 14 17 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 51 55 59 60 61 59 58 57 55 54 52 RH..............96 89 77 69 64 63 63 65 68 71 74 77 GENERAL WND DIR.SE SE SE NE NE NE N N N N N N GENERAL WND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WND GST. 9 9 9 12 12 12 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.13 14 14 19 24 30 24 18 12 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS BY MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (8). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........23 26 29 32 34 37 40 41 43 44 45 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 48 48 47 46 46 46 45 45 45 45 47 RH..............81 88 87 86 88 87 85 88 90 90 92 90 GENERAL WND DIR.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 GENERAL WND GST.7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 10 13 12 14 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (50). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........48 44 40 36 32 28 24 24 24 24 24 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 54 58 62 63 63 63 63 64 64 64 62 RH..............83 74 65 59 56 55 55 54 53 53 53 55 GENERAL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WND GST.7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12 9 9 9 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 23 30 36 36 34 34 41 48 50 41 24 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...SRF REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120605.DUCKL.02/MQT