FNUS73 KUNR 052024
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKULL CREEK COMPLEX...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
224 PM MDT TUE JUN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1357 MDT ON JUNE 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG
AND GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH...ESPECIALLY ALONG RIDGE TOPS. THESE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THEN
DIMINISH TO 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER SUNSET. A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE FIRE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...ALTHOUGH
CHANCES ARE VERY SMALL.

COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALONG
WITH LIGHTER WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 35 MPH ALONG RIDGE TOPS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...EDDIE HUTTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120605.SKULL.01/UNR