FNUS73 KUNR 060011
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKULL CREEK COMPLEX...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
611 PM MDT TUE JUN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1357 MDT ON JUNE 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...CORRECTED FOR WIND SPEED TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIALLY GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING
THE FIRE AREA...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE FIRE AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING. IF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO HOLD TOGETHER
THEY WOULD REACH THE FIRE AREA AROUND 700 PM. VARIABLE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND AS THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CROSS THE FIRE AREA. THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA AFTER 900 PM.
OTHERWISE...THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE REST OF THE
EVENING.

COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALONG
WITH LIGHTER WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH. VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO
                    50 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................12 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 TO 43 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 21
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...EDDIE HUTTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120605.SKULL.01/UNR