FNUS75 KGJT 061513
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIREWATER CYN WILDFIRE...VERNAL FIRE CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
913 AM MDT WED JUN 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0830 MDT ON JUNE 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE IN PLACE THIS MORNING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT WHICH HAS SETTLED OVER SOUTHERN UTAH INTO EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO.
THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AND MAY TRY AND LIFT BACK NORTH
WITH THE UPPER FLOW OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
DIFFICULT WIND FORECAST BUT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT AS MIXING TAKES
PLACE TODAY RIDGETOP WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE SOUTHERLY AND ALIGN WITH
THE UPPER FLOW. WITH UPPER WINDS MUCH LIGHTER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT SOME GUSTS OVER 20 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ALOFT OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND THIS
WILL KEEP WINDS MORE TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH THE DAY...THOUGH MIXING
SHOULD AGAIN LEAD TO RIDGETOP WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......RIDGETOP WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY EARLY AFTERNOON
                    WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH THROUGH MID EVENING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DRIVEN BY SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN SHINKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120606.FIREW.01/GJT