FNUS73 KMQT 061939 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 339 PM EDT WED JUN 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1351 EDT ON JUNE 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THAT TIME. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO NEAR 100 PERCENT LATE TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. THERE WILL BE A BIT LESS LAKE SUPERIOR MODIFICATION ON THURSDAY...SO PLAN ON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING LOWER THAN TODAY TO NEAR 35 PERCENT. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ATTENDANT WARM FRONT. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN BEFORE THIS DISTURBANCE EXITS BY EARLY SATURDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 11 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (621). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900-3600 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........13 9 13 16 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............72 72 70 65 RH................44 41 45 52 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...621 557 438 245 MIX HGT (KFT).....5.6 5.1 3.6 1.9 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 MPH OR LESS BY LATE EVENING...THEN BECOMING CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING WEST 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 22 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........20 22 25 27 29 32 34 32 29 27 24 22 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............62 57 53 50 48 46 45 43 43 43 46 51 RH................59 67 78 88 94 98 100 100 100 96 90 79 GENERAL WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 GENERAL WIND GST.. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...57 2 8 35 33 34 38 38 38 38 10 0 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX......5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (501) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (783) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (269) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING DECREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL LATE. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........19 21 23 25 23 22 20 16 12 8 12 15 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............56 62 66 70 73 74 75 75 76 76 76 75 RH................68 56 47 41 39 37 37 36 36 36 36 38 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST.. 10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...33 144 273 418 501 603 610 718 783 714 495 269 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.0 4.5 2.7 HAINES INDEX......5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...KC REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120606.DUCKL.04/MQT