FNUS75 KBOU 071532 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STUART HOLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 932 AM MDT THU JUN 7 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGHER MOISTURE AROUND TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT HEATING AND KEEP HUMIDITIES UP. A DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE FIRING OFF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER RAIN AMOUNTS BUT STILL CONTAIN GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TODAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT INCREASING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0900...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STUART HOLE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/07-09 90 0 0 57 70 SE 7 7 4 1 SW23 3643 S10 32515 P 06/07-10 80 0 0 64 62 SE 7 7 4 1 SW22 6206 S12 72062 G 06/07-11 50 0 0 69 44 SE 6 6 3 1 SW22 8768 SW14 111608 V 06/07-12 50 2 0 72 30 S 5 5 3 1 SW23 11331 SW15 151155 E 06/07-13 43 2 0 74 28 SE 3 3 3 1 SW22 11747 SW15 151413 E 06/07-14 43 25 5 74 29 E 3 3 3 4 W21 12163 W14 151672 E 06/07-15 59 25 5 75 31 E 3 3 3 4 W21 12580 W14 151930 E 06/07-16 59 25 5 75 31 E 3 3 3 4 W22 11826 W12 124125 V 06/07-17 59 25 5 76 31 E 5 5 3 4 W24 11073 W 9 96321 G 06/07-18 55 16 3 73 34 SE 5 5 3 3 W25 10320 W 8 68516 G 06/07-19 55 16 3 70 39 SE 5 5 3 3 W26 8178 SW 7 51464 F 06/07-20 55 16 3 66 48 E 5 5 2 3 SW26 6037 SE 6 34413 P 06/07-21 55 16 3 63 57 E 3 3 2 3 SW26 3895 E 5 17361 P 06/07-22 55 16 3 61 62 SE 2 2 2 3 SW26 3266 E 7 17283 P 06/07-23 55 16 3 59 64 CALM 1 2 3 SW26 2636 E 8 17205 P 06/08-00 20 0 0 57 66 CALM 1 2 1 SW26 2006 E10 17127 P 06/08-01 20 0 0 55 73 CALM 1 2 1 SW28 1438 SE 7 11523 P 06/08-02 20 0 0 53 78 CALM 1 2 1 W28 871 S 5 5918 P 06/08-03 20 0 0 50 85 W 2 2 2 1 W28 303 CALM 313 P 06/08-04 20 0 0 49 84 W 3 3 2 1 W26 258 S 2 462 P 06/08-05 20 0 0 49 77 W 3 3 3 1 W25 212 SW 3 612 P 06/08-06 14 5 1 50 66 SW 5 5 3 1 W23 167 SW 6 761 P 06/08-07 14 5 1 55 52 SW 5 5 3 1 W22 2337 SW 7 23344 P 06/08-08 14 5 1 65 35 S 5 5 4 1 W21 4507 W 9 45927 F 06/08-09 14 5 1 72 26 S 5 5 4 1 W20 6677 W12 68510 G 06/08-10 14 5 1 77 21 S 5 5 2 1 W24 8498 SW13 93973 G 06/08-11 14 5 1 79 18 S 5 5 2 1 W24 9902 SW14 116801 V 06/08-12 33 10 2 81 16 S 6 6 2 2 W24 11307 SW14 139628 V 06/08-13 33 10 2 83 15 S 7 7 2 2 W24 11781 SW15 153142 E 06/08-14 33 10 2 83 14 S 8 13 3 2 W24 12256 SW16 166655 E 06/08-15 33 10 2 82 15 S 9 15 3 2 W24 12730 SW16 180169 E 06/08-16 33 10 2 83 14 S10 16 3 2 W24 12671 SW16 183457 E 06/08-17 33 10 2 83 14 S10 17 3 2 W24 12612 SW17 186745 E 06/08-18 33 10 2 80 16 S10 16 3 2 W24 12553 SW17 190034 E 06/08-19 33 10 2 76 18 S 9 15 3 2 W25 8941 SW15 132338 V 06/08-20 18 7 1 72 21 SW 7 7 3 1 SW26 5329 S14 74643 G 06/08-21 18 7 1 67 24 SW 6 6 3 1 SW29 1717 S12 16947 P 06/08-22 18 7 1 64 27 SW 5 5 3 1 SW30 1276 S10 12086 P 06/08-23 18 7 1 62 28 SW 5 5 3 1 SW32 835 S 8 7224 P 06/09-00 12 4 1 60 30 SW 5 5 3 1 SW33 393 S 7 2363 P 06/09-01 12 4 1 56 34 SW 5 5 3 1 SW33 310 SW 7 1910 P 06/09-02 12 4 1 53 35 W 6 6 3 1 SW33 226 SW 8 1457 P 06/09-03 12 4 1 51 36 W 7 7 3 1 SW33 143 W 8 1004 P 06/09-04 12 4 1 50 37 W 8 8 3 1 SW33 143 W 9 1116 P 06/09-05 12 4 1 50 36 W 8 14 3 1 SW32 144 W10 1229 P 06/09-06 9 4 1 50 35 W 9 15 3 1 SW32 144 W10 1342 P 06/09-07 9 4 1 55 28 W10 16 3 1 SW33 2317 W16 51160 F 06/09-08 9 4 1 65 20 W10 17 3 1 SW33 4491 SW21 100979 V 06/09-09 9 4 1 72 16 W12 18 3 1 SW35 6664 SW26 150798 E 06/09-10 9 4 1 77 13 SW12 18 3 1 SW36 7928 SW25 175167 E 06/09-11 9 4 1 80 13 SW12 20 3 1 SW37 9192 SW25 199535 E 06/09-12 22 5 1 81 12 SW13 21 3 1 SW36 10457 SW24 223904 E 06/09-13 22 5 1 84 11 SW14 23 3 1 SW35 10934 SW24 230834 E 06/09-14 22 5 1 84 11 SW16 25 4 1 SW32 11411 SW24 237764 E 06/09-15 22 5 1 83 12 SW17 28 4 1 SW30 11888 SW24 244693 E 06/09-16 22 5 1 84 12 SW17 26 4 1 SW28 11981 SW23 237439 E 06/09-17 22 5 1 84 12 SW15 24 4 1 SW25 12074 SW22 230185 E 06/09-18 29 5 1 81 13 SW14 22 4 1 SW24 12167 SW21 222931 E 06/09-19 29 5 1 77 15 SW13 20 4 1 SW24 8483 SW20 154220 E 06/09-20 29 5 1 72 17 SW12 18 4 1 SW25 4800 SW18 85510 G 06/09-21 29 5 1 67 20 W10 16 4 1 SW26 1117 SW17 16799 P 06/09-22 29 5 1 65 21 W 9 15 3 1 SW28 890 W17 13237 P 06/09-23 29 5 1 62 22 W 9 15 3 1 SW29 663 W16 9675 P 06/10-00 27 4 1 60 24 W 9 15 2 1 SW30 436 W16 6113 P 06/10-01 27 4 1 56 28 W 9 15 2 1 SW33 419 W16 5828 P 06/10-02 27 4 1 53 31 W10 17 2 1 SW37 403 W16 5542 P 06/10-03 27 4 1 51 34 W12 18 2 1 SW41 386 W16 5256 P 06/10-04 27 4 1 50 37 W13 20 2 1 SW45 817 W17 13195 P 06/10-05 27 4 1 50 38 W13 21 2 1 SW48 1248 W18 21133 P 06/10-06 27 4 1 50 38 W14 22 2 1 SW52 1680 W20 29072 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120607.STUAR.01/BOU