FNUS72 KJAX 071233
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-19 DELANCEY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
833 AM EDT THU JUN 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ALONG THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA
BORDER TODAY WHICH WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS
OVER THE FIRE LOCATION THIS MORNING. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.
ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND FADE AFTER SUNSET.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE THIS MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 26.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........40     60     70     89     86
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     82     84     84     82
RH..............82     69     66     66     71
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 5   S 5    S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      6      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2200   2500   2400   2000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   SW 8   SW 7   SW 8   SW 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE STRANGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120607.C19DE.01/JAX