FNUS73 KMQT 070922 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 522 AM EDT THU JUN 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0427 EDT ON JUNE 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT... WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING. A LIGHT LAKE BREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON LEADING TO A MORE NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTH FLOW...HOWEVER GUSTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 12 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 50S...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES CLOSEST TO THE LAKE. WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW PRESSURE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO NEAR 100 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AGAIN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH AS MUCH AS 0.60 INCH EXPECTED OVER THE HEAD OF THE FIRE. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH CANADA WILL LEAD TO INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS. EXPECT THE STRONGEST SOUTHERLY WINDS TO GUST TO AROUND 20 MPH ON SUNDAY...WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S UNTIL SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WHEN HIGHS MAY REACH JUST ABOVE 80. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (73). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........22 21 20 19 19 19 19 16 14 11 14 16 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............46 50 54 57 61 61 62 62 62 62 62 61 RH................95 85 74 67 61 60 60 59 57 58 57 58 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...38 35 32 35 47 61 73 71 69 59 50 39 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 HAINES INDEX......5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 98 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6...OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (21). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........19 18 17 16 21 25 30 36 41 47 46 45 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............61 59 56 54 53 52 51 51 50 49 49 49 RH................59 62 68 75 77 81 85 85 89 92 98 98 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..5 5 5 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...28 23 21 23 25 28 30 30 30 30 30 33 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX......5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 66. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 66 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (35). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........44 41 43 46 48 51 53 59 64 70 75 81 WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..............58 54 58 61 63 64 65 65 65 65 65 64 RH................74 89 79 72 67 67 68 67 66 67 67 68 GENERAL WIND DIR..SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 GENERAL WIND GST.. 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100...33 33 33 33 33 35 35 33 28 23 20 18 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MCB REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120607.DUCKL.02/MQT