FNUS73 KMQT 080929 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 529 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0458 EDT ON JUNE 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL FINALLY WEAKEN TODAY...BUT SHOULD STILL LEAD TO LIGHT WINDS. THE HEAD OF THE FIRE SHOULD STAY UNDER THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE AND SLOWLY VEER FROM NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WHILE REMAINING BELOW 10 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREAD EAST TOWARDS THE FIRE...BUT SHOULD NOT ARRIVE UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AND THEY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE OVER 0.70 OF AN INCH OF RAIN BEFORE ENDING SATURDAY MORNING. WARMER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 DEGREES ON SUNDAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 66. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (38). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........53 51 50 49 49 52 52 58 64 70 76 82 WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO SCT WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TEMP............56 59 62 64 65 62 60 60 60 60 61 63 RH..............76 70 65 62 63 66 70 72 72 72 70 66 GENERAL WND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW NE NE NE GENERAL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 GENERAL WND GST. 6 6 6 7 7 7 5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100.38 35 33 33 33 35 35 33 30 25 23 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING AND DIMINISHING LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 29 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (18). LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 5 UNTIL 0400...THEN 4 UNTIL 0600...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.71 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........88 90 92 94 95 97 99 96 93 90 86 82 WEATHER COV.....SCT NUM NUM NUM DEF DEF DEF DEF NUM NUM SCT CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 65 65 64 63 62 62 62 64 65 65 64 RH..............64 65 66 68 71 75 78 77 74 72 73 74 GENERAL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW GENERAL WND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 GENERAL WND GST. 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 9 VINDX KT-FT/100.18 18 20 25 30 38 45 50 53 50 48 40 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (38). LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........78 74 69 65 62 59 56 55 55 54 49 44 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............63 62 65 67 67 68 68 68 68 68 68 67 RH..............75 78 71 67 67 68 69 69 70 71 68 67 GENERAL WND DIR.SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW S S S GENERAL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 GENERAL WND GST.10 10 10 12 12 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 VINDX KT-FT/100.35 35 35 38 38 38 35 33 25 23 25 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SRF REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120608.DUCKL.02/MQT