FNUS73 KMQT 082045 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 445 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1614 EDT ON JUNE 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE DUCK LAKE FIRE SITE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY... BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL BE VARIABLE BUT COULD REACH UP TO 0.75 INCH OVER MUCH OF THE FIRE SITE. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DEPART ON SATURDAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE WARM WITH READINGS AGAIN NEAR 80 DEGREES AT THE TAIL OF THE FIRE AND IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S TOWARD LAKE SUPERIOR. HUMIDITY VALUES ON SATURDAY SHOULD BE HIGHER THAN THE LAST COUPLE DAYS...WITH READINGS IN THE 45 TO 55 PERCENT RANGE. HUMIDITY RECOVERY SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE 90 TO 100 PERCENT AT THE FIRE SITE. A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE INTO THE REGION LATE ON MONDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 20 TO 25 MPH AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 80S. WINDS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ON MONDAY AFTERNOON COULD GUST TO AROUND 20 MPH. AS THE FRONT PASSES...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT A COOL DOWN IN TEMPERATURES AND A DECREASE IN HUMIDITY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY NIGHT. HIGHS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FROM 40 TO 50 PERCENT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 52 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (31) AT REQUEST. MAX...POOR (50). LAL.................3 UNTIL 1800...THEN 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 800-1000 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)............70 75 80 WEATHER COV........SCT NUM DEF WEATHER TYPE.......TSM TSM TSM TEMP...............69 70 72 RH.................59 55 53 GENERAL WIND DIR...NE NE NE GENERAL WIND SPD....4 4 4 GENERAL WIND GST....5 5 5 VINDX KT-FT/100....31 43 50 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.8 0.9 1.0 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 89 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS EARLY IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 11 TO 28 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (10). LAL.................5 UNTIL 0400...THEN 4 UNTIL 0600...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.73 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...............85 87 90 92 94 97 99 97 94 92 89 87 WEATHER COV..........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF NUM NUM SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE.........TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..................72 70 67 64 62 60 60 60 60 61 60 58 RH....................52 56 62 69 75 80 83 84 82 82 85 89 GENERAL WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD......4 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST......5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100......52 41 20 10 11 17 28 35 45 50 38 32 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX..........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 73. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (224). LAL.................3 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...............84 79 75 70 65 61 56 55 55 54 51 49 WEATHER COV..........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.........TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..................58 62 67 72 72 70 69 70 72 73 73 73 RH....................88 78 66 58 60 65 70 67 62 59 57 55 GENERAL WIND DIR......SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW S S S GENERAL WIND SPD......7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 GENERAL WIND GST......10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100......45 108 183 224 219 180 143 135 129 105 59 28 MIX HGT (KFT)........0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 HAINES INDEX...........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120608.DUCKL.04/MQT