FNUS75 KBOU 091936 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 134 PM MDT SAT JUN 9 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...A VERY WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE AREA WITH SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES AND PRETTY STRONG GUSTY WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN AFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAPID FIRE GROWTH IS POSSIBLE CONSIDERING THE GUSTY WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WHICH WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT AT THE FIRE. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT AND THEY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ALL NIGHT. LOW HUMIDITIES AND FAIRLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER. MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-89. MIN HUMIDITY........5-9%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000-13000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTH 8-18 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...SHIFTING AT 2400 TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUST TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL 0400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70. MIN HUMIDITY........12-16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-NORTHWEST 10-20 WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13000-14000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/09-13 10 0 0 82 8 SW15 23 2 1 SW40 11220 SW28 270155 E 06/09-14 10 0 0 82 8 SW17 25 2 1 SW40 11832 SW28 285012 E 06/09-15 15 0 0 82 8 SW18 28 3 1 SW41 12444 SW28 299870 E 06/09-16 15 0 0 82 8 SW18 28 3 1 SW43 12776 SW29 316337 E 06/09-17 15 0 0 83 8 SW18 26 4 1 SW43 13108 SW29 332804 E 06/09-18 28 0 0 82 8 SW17 26 4 1 SW44 13440 SW30 349271 E 06/09-19 28 0 0 77 11 SW17 25 4 1 SW43 9090 SW25 234848 E 06/09-20 28 0 0 71 14 W16 24 4 1 SW40 4740 W22 120425 V 06/09-21 28 0 0 63 20 W16 24 4 1 SW40 391 W17 6003 P 06/09-22 28 0 0 59 25 NW16 24 3 1 SW40 356 W18 5576 P 06/09-23 28 0 0 55 31 NW17 25 3 1 SW41 321 NW18 5150 P 06/10-00 18 0 0 53 35 NW17 26 2 1 SW45 286 NW20 4724 P 06/10-01 18 0 0 50 39 NW17 26 2 1 SW49 436 NW22 9192 P 06/10-02 18 0 0 47 41 NW17 26 2 1 SW56 586 NW25 13661 P 06/10-03 18 0 0 44 45 NW17 26 2 1 SW62 736 NW29 18129 P 06/10-04 18 0 0 43 46 NW17 26 2 1 SW67 1629 W33 53631 F 06/10-05 18 0 0 43 45 NW17 26 2 1 SW69 2521 W38 89133 G 06/10-06 18 6 1 44 42 W17 26 2 1 SW71 3414 W43 124634 V 06/10-07 18 6 1 48 36 W17 25 2 1 SW70 4363 W44 168853 E 06/10-08 18 6 1 50 34 W16 24 3 1 W67 5312 W46 213071 E 06/10-09 18 6 1 54 29 W16 25 4 1 W63 6261 W47 257289 E 06/10-10 18 6 1 58 25 W16 25 5 1 W55 8353 W43 289733 E 06/10-11 18 6 1 62 22 W16 25 5 1 W46 10446 W38 322177 E 06/10-12 36 8 2 64 19 W16 25 5 1 W39 12538 W32 354621 E 06/10-13 36 8 2 65 18 W16 25 5 1 W37 13092 W32 368490 E 06/10-14 36 8 2 66 17 W15 24 4 1 W36 13646 W32 382358 E 06/10-15 36 8 2 67 16 W15 24 4 1 W37 14199 W32 396227 E 06/10-16 36 8 2 67 16 W16 25 4 1 W39 13625 W33 393199 E 06/10-17 36 8 2 66 15 W17 26 4 1 W41 13050 W35 390171 E 06/10-18 30 5 1 65 16 W17 28 4 1 W44 12475 W36 387144 E 06/10-19 30 5 1 63 17 W16 26 4 1 W44 10032 W35 304992 E 06/10-20 30 5 1 59 20 W15 24 5 1 W43 7589 W33 222841 E 06/10-21 30 5 1 55 23 NW14 22 5 1 W40 5146 W31 140690 V 06/10-22 30 5 1 52 25 W13 20 5 1 W36 3770 W30 101390 V 06/10-23 30 5 1 50 27 W12 18 5 1 W30 2393 W28 62090 G 06/11-00 15 1 0 48 30 W10 16 5 1 W25 1017 W25 22789 P 06/11-01 15 1 0 46 31 W10 16 5 1 W23 790 W22 16690 P 06/11-02 15 1 0 44 33 W 9 15 4 1 W22 563 W18 10591 P 06/11-03 15 1 0 43 35 W 9 15 4 1 W21 337 W15 4491 P 06/11-04 15 1 0 42 36 W 8 14 4 1 W21 350 W14 4261 P 06/11-05 15 1 0 42 36 W 8 8 4 1 W21 364 W13 4031 P 06/11-06 12 2 0 42 36 W 7 7 4 1 W20 377 W12 3801 P 06/11-07 12 2 0 45 33 SW 6 6 4 1 W18 2731 W12 28586 P 06/11-08 12 2 0 49 28 S 6 6 4 1 W16 5085 W12 53371 F 06/11-09 12 2 0 53 24 SE 6 6 4 1 W16 7439 W13 78156 G 06/11-10 12 2 0 58 21 SE 7 7 4 1 W18 8744 W13 91802 G 06/11-11 12 2 0 61 19 SE 9 14 3 1 W22 10049 W12 105449 V 06/11-12 28 10 2 63 17 SE10 16 3 1 W25 11354 W12 119096 V 06/11-13 28 10 2 65 16 SE12 18 3 1 W26 11948 W13 127131 V 06/11-14 28 10 2 65 16 SE12 18 3 1 W28 12543 W13 135167 V 06/11-15 28 10 2 66 16 SE12 18 3 1 W28 13137 W13 143202 V 06/11-16 28 10 2 66 16 S10 17 3 1 W26 12739 W13 136726 V 06/11-17 28 10 2 66 17 SW 9 15 3 1 W25 12342 W13 130249 V 06/11-18 35 3 1 64 18 W 8 13 3 1 W23 11944 W12 123773 V 06/11-19 35 3 1 62 20 W 8 13 3 1 W22 8285 SW10 84238 G 06/11-20 35 3 1 58 24 W 8 13 3 1 W21 4626 SW 8 44703 F 06/11-21 35 3 1 54 29 W 8 13 3 1 SW20 966 SW 6 5168 P 06/11-22 35 3 1 52 33 W 8 14 3 1 SW21 739 SW 7 4015 P 06/11-23 35 3 1 50 38 W 8 14 3 1 SW22 511 SW 7 2862 P 06/12-00 28 4 1 48 42 W 8 13 3 1 SW24 284 SW 7 1709 P 06/12-01 28 4 1 46 45 SW 7 7 3 1 SW24 271 SW 6 1448 P 06/12-02 28 4 1 44 49 S 5 5 3 1 SW25 258 S 6 1188 P 06/12-03 28 4 1 43 52 S 3 3 3 1 W25 245 S 5 928 P 06/12-04 28 4 1 43 53 S 3 3 3 1 W26 237 S 5 861 P 06/12-05 28 4 1 42 52 SW 3 3 3 1 W28 230 S 3 795 P 06/12-06 37 8 2 42 51 SW 5 5 3 2 W29 222 SW 3 729 P 06/12-07 37 8 2 45 45 SW 5 5 2 06/12-08 37 8 2 49 37 SW 5 5 2 06/12-09 37 8 2 54 30 SW 5 5 2 06/12-10 37 8 2 59 26 SW 5 5 2 06/12-11 37 8 2 62 23 SW 5 5 2 06/12-12 52 10 2 65 21 S 5 5 2 06/12-13 52 10 2 66 20 S 5 5 2 06/12-14 52 10 2 67 19 S 5 5 2 06/12-15 52 10 2 68 18 S 5 5 2 06/12-16 52 10 2 68 18 S 5 5 2 06/12-17 52 10 2 68 18 S 5 5 2 06/12-18 41 11 2 66 19 S 5 5 2 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLOSE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120609.HIGHP.02/BOU RJK