FNUS75 KBOU 092326 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 518 PM MDT SAT JUN 9 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT SUNDAY... .DISCUSSION...THE HOT...DRY...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING FOR THE FIRE. AFTER SUNSET...MODERATELY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITIES. AROUND MIDNIGHT...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE AREA BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BEHIND IT. PRETTY STRONG WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ALL NIGHT. LOW HUMIDITIES AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES COOLER. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 2000... THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT ...THEN WEST-NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 8600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70. MIN HUMIDITY........11-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/09-17 15 0 0 83 8 SW20 30 4 1 SW37 12302 SW25 273534 E 06/09-18 14 0 0 82 8 SW20 30 4 1 SW36 12663 SW26 287647 E 06/09-19 14 0 0 77 10 SW18 28 4 1 SW38 8548 SW24 193689 E 06/09-20 14 0 0 70 14 W17 25 4 1 SW39 4434 W23 99731 G 06/09-21 14 0 0 62 20 W16 24 4 1 SW41 319 W21 5773 P 06/09-22 14 0 0 58 24 W17 25 3 1 SW40 300 W21 5273 P 06/09-23 14 0 0 54 29 NW18 28 3 1 SW39 280 NW20 4773 P 06/10-00 15 0 0 52 32 NW20 30 2 1 SW39 260 NW18 4274 P 06/10-01 15 0 0 49 36 NW20 30 2 1 SW43 325 NW22 6397 P 06/10-02 15 0 0 46 40 NW21 31 3 1 SW47 390 NW24 8520 P 06/10-03 15 0 0 43 44 NW21 31 3 1 SW51 455 NW26 10643 P 06/10-04 15 0 0 42 45 NW22 32 3 1 SW52 699 W29 18591 P 06/10-05 15 0 0 42 43 W22 32 2 1 SW51 944 W31 26539 P 06/10-06 14 0 0 43 40 W22 33 2 1 SW51 1188 W33 34488 P 06/10-07 14 0 0 47 34 W21 31 2 1 SW55 2794 W36 95952 G 06/10-08 14 0 0 55 25 W20 29 3 1 SW60 4400 W39 157416 E 06/10-09 14 0 0 60 20 W18 28 3 1 SW62 6006 W41 218881 E 06/10-10 14 0 0 62 18 W18 28 3 1 SW62 7645 W40 260974 E 06/10-11 14 0 0 64 16 W18 29 4 1 W60 9284 W38 303067 E 06/10-12 22 6 1 66 15 W20 30 4 1 W56 10924 W37 345160 E 06/10-13 22 6 1 67 14 W21 30 4 1 W51 11326 W35 334596 E 06/10-14 22 6 1 66 14 W21 31 3 1 W45 11729 W32 324031 E 06/10-15 22 6 1 66 14 W21 31 3 1 W39 12131 W30 313467 E 06/10-16 22 6 1 66 14 W20 30 3 1 W37 12572 W28 303268 E 06/10-17 22 6 1 67 13 W18 28 4 1 SW36 13013 W26 293068 E 06/10-18 23 3 1 66 13 W17 26 4 1 SW36 13454 SW24 282869 E 06/10-19 23 3 1 63 14 W16 24 4 1 SW35 9613 W21 195572 E 06/10-20 23 3 1 60 16 W16 23 4 1 SW35 5773 W16 108274 V 06/10-21 23 3 1 54 20 W15 23 4 1 SW35 1932 W13 20977 P 06/10-22 23 3 1 51 23 W14 22 4 1 SW35 1384 W13 15012 P 06/10-23 23 3 1 49 26 W13 20 4 1 SW35 835 W13 9047 P 06/11-00 12 1 0 47 28 W12 18 4 1 SW35 287 W13 3081 P 06/11-01 12 1 0 45 31 W12 17 4 1 SW33 249 W12 2568 P 06/11-02 12 1 0 44 33 W10 17 3 1 SW32 211 W12 2054 P 06/11-03 12 1 0 42 37 W10 16 3 1 SW31 173 W10 1540 P 06/11-04 12 1 0 41 38 W10 16 3 1 SW31 191 W 8 1378 P 06/11-05 12 1 0 41 36 W10 16 3 1 SW31 209 W 7 1215 P 06/11-06 12 2 0 42 35 W 9 15 3 1 SW30 227 W 6 1053 P 06/11-07 12 2 0 46 31 NW 7 7 3 1 SW29 3706 W 8 41738 F 06/11-08 12 2 0 54 24 N 5 5 3 1 W29 7185 W10 82423 G 06/11-09 12 2 0 59 21 NE 3 3 3 1 W28 10664 SW14 123109 V 06/11-10 12 2 0 61 19 E 3 3 3 1 W29 11402 SW14 131442 V 06/11-11 12 2 0 64 17 SE 3 3 3 1 W30 12140 W14 139775 V 06/11-12 31 8 2 65 16 S 3 3 3 1 W30 12878 W14 148109 V 06/11-13 31 8 2 66 17 S 3 3 3 1 W29 12901 W13 142271 V 06/11-14 31 8 2 66 17 S 3 3 3 1 W28 12924 W13 136433 V 06/11-15 31 10 2 66 18 S 5 5 3 2 W26 12947 SW12 130596 V 06/11-16 31 10 2 66 18 SE 6 6 3 2 W25 12627 SW12 126093 V 06/11-17 31 10 2 66 17 SE 8 13 3 2 W23 12307 SW12 121590 V 06/11-18 36 10 2 66 18 SE 9 15 3 2 W22 11987 SW12 117088 V 06/11-19 36 10 2 62 21 SE 9 14 3 2 W20 8355 SW10 80968 G 06/11-20 36 10 2 59 26 SE 8 13 3 2 SW18 4723 S10 44847 F 06/11-21 36 10 2 54 34 SE 7 7 3 2 SW20 1091 S 9 8727 P 06/11-22 36 10 2 51 38 SE 6 6 3 2 SW23 827 S 8 6432 P 06/11-23 36 10 2 49 42 S 6 6 3 2 SW28 562 S 8 4137 P 06/12-00 23 0 0 47 44 S 5 5 3 1 SW30 298 SW 7 1843 P 06/12-01 23 0 0 45 49 S 3 3 3 1 SW30 282 S 7 1716 P 06/12-02 23 0 0 44 53 SE 2 2 3 1 SW28 267 S 7 1590 P 06/12-03 23 0 0 42 58 CALM 1 3 1 W25 251 S 7 1464 P 06/12-04 23 0 0 41 58 S 2 2 3 1 W24 250 S 7 1398 P 06/12-05 23 0 0 42 55 SW 3 3 4 1 SW24 248 S 6 1332 P 06/12-06 31 5 1 43 51 W 5 5 4 1 SW24 247 S 6 1266 P 06/12-07 31 5 1 47 45 W 3 3 4 1 W25 1564 SW 8 14655 P 06/12-08 31 5 1 56 33 W 2 2 4 1 W25 2881 SW 9 28044 P 06/12-09 31 5 1 62 27 CALM 1 4 1 W26 4199 SW12 41432 F 06/12-10 31 5 1 64 24 W 2 2 4 1 W29 7492 SW14 110275 V 06/12-11 31 5 1 67 21 SW 5 5 4 1 W31 10786 W17 179117 E 06/12-12 39 10 2 68 18 SW 6 6 4 2 W32 14079 W21 247959 E 06/12-13 39 10 2 69 18 SW 6 6 4 2 W32 13985 W20 241351 E 06/12-14 39 10 2 69 18 SW 5 5 4 2 W31 13892 W20 234742 E 06/12-15 39 10 2 69 19 SW 5 5 4 2 W30 13798 W20 228134 E 06/12-16 39 10 2 69 18 SW 6 6 4 2 W30 13140 W20 222515 E 06/12-17 39 10 2 69 17 W 7 7 4 2 W30 12482 W20 216896 E 06/12-18 41 8 2 69 17 W 8 13 4 1 W31 11824 W21 211276 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLOSE REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120609.HIGHP.04/BOU RJK