FNUS74 KEPZ 100330
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LITTLE BEAR...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
930 PM MDT SAT JUN 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2000 MDT ON JUNE 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE
UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNING SHORTLY...

.DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT WINDS WILL DIMINISH...GENERALLY WEST 8 TO 12 MPH...BUT
TERRAIN DRIVEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.  NOCTURNAL INVERSION AROUND 500 FT AGL
WILL LIKELY CAUSE NEAR-SURFACE SMOKE PROBLEMS DOWNSTREAM OF THE FIRE
OVERNIGHT.  RH RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE MINIMAL...VERY POOR.

OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW AND REACH THE LOWER
END OF RED FLAG CRITERIA.  FIRE WEATHER WATCH CURRENTLY IS IN
EFFECT...BUT WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING MOMENTARILY.
MINIMUM RH TOMORROW WILL AGAIN BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WITH STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS.  DEEP MIXING AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN
HAINES INDEX OF 6 TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL DIMINISH BUT VEER MORE TO THE
NORTHWEST.  WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT WILL BRING BRIEF LOW-LEVEL
NORTHEAST WINDS MONDAY MORNING.  WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE
PROBLEMATIC AND RATHER VARIABLE AS WESTERLY WINDS WILL TRY TO MIX
DOWN BY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-6 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH WITH
                    LOCALLY STRONGER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9800-11700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.


$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...TARA UMPHRIES
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120609.LITTL.02/EPZ