FNUS75 KGJT 092300
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE SAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
500 PM MDT SAT JUN 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1610 MDT ON JUNE 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL KEEP
RED FLAG CONDITIONS PRESENT AT LEAST PAST SUNSET THIS EVENING. A DRY
COLD FRONT WAS NEAR VERNAL UTAH AT 1600 MDT AND WILL PUSH
SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN COLORADO THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL SLOW
BECOME MORE DIFFUSE AS IT REACHES THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS MAKING
TIMING OF AN DISTINCT WIND SHIFT AT THE FIRE DIFFICULT. THE BEST
ESTIMATE AT THIS TIME IS FOR THE FRONT TO REACH THE FIRE BETWEEN
MIDNIGHT AND 0200M MDT. NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR
SUNDAY FOR HIGHER HUMIDITY BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE.

.REST OF TODAY (UNTIL 2000 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 13-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER 2000 MDT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 5-10 MPH OVER RIDGETOPS BUT BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH IN CANYONS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO GOOD BY 2100...THEN POOR BY
MIDNIGHT. POOR (23100-23900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH BY 2400.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. AFTER 1100...
                    WEST SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING TO
                    9500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...DAN OCHOCKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120609.LITTL.02/GJT