FNUS73 KMQT 090937 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 537 AM EDT SAT JUN 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0508 EDT ON JUNE 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THEY MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY...BUT PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE FIRE SITE WILL SEE LITTLE OR NOW PRECIPITATION THIS MORNING. WITH WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE LAKE BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. IF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DO IMPACT THE SITE...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WOULD RESULT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT...AND THE LAKE BREEZE MAY MOVE THROUGH TODAY...CAUSING MORE NORTHERLY OR LIGHT WINDS. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 50 PERCENT TODAY. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE A MORE CRITICAL DAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S AND MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 35 PERCENT. ALSO...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AT 15 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (102). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........77 73 70 66 62 59 55 60 65 70 62 54 WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..............60 63 68 72 73 72 73 75 78 80 80 78 RH................84 77 69 62 61 62 62 57 52 49 51 55 GENERAL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...15 18 21 23 23 23 30 56 85 102 85 56 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 19 TO 31 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (32). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........46 42 38 34 33 32 31 26 22 17 17 17 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............75 73 70 67 65 62 61 60 59 59 58 58 RH................60 62 63 64 70 75 79 82 83 83 88 90 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100...33 32 39 53 55 58 58 58 58 58 47 41 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 37 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 26 TO 44 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (441) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1077) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1480) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (744) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3900-5300 FT AGL LATE DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........17 15 13 11 10 9 8 8 9 9 10 11 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............61 64 71 78 80 81 82 84 86 86 86 83 RH................83 76 60 49 45 44 42 39 37 36 37 41 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 11 11 11 17 17 17 18 18 18 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100...53 57 99 200 441 781 10771301148014531170744 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.3 4.3 5.0 5.3 5.0 3.9 2.4 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...TITUS REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120609.DUCKL.01/MQT