FNUS73 KMQT 092000 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 400 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1419 EDT ON JUNE 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE IS MERGING WITH ITSELF OVER THE FIRE...WITH THE RESULT BEING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR VARYING WIND DIRECTIONS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS BREEZE...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE DUCK LAKE FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WHICH ARE BEGINNING TO POP UP SHORTLY BEFORE 1600. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER 30 MPH. EXPECT TEMPERATURES AND WINDS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY SUNDAY...WITH UNLIKE THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...SOME OF THE STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. THE NEARING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY CROSS LATE MONDAY EVENING...WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY FROM EARLY EVENING ON. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH THE FRONT SHOULD AVERAGE A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 DEGREES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (169). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........52 54 51 49 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............73 76 78 76 RH................73 62 54 58 GENERAL WIND DIR..NE N N N GENERAL WIND SPD...6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST..10 VINDX KT-FT/100..167 169 107 66 MIX HGT (KFT)....3.3 3.4 2.7 1.7 HAINES INDEX.......4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE ALONG THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORELINE BY LATE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 12 TO 29 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (20). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)..........47 40 33 25 28 31 34 27 21 14 16 17 WEATHER COV...... PTY PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE..... FOG FOG FOG TEMP.............73 70 68 66 64 62 60 59 59 59 58 59 RH...............64 67 70 72 76 80 83 84 84 83 87 88 GENERAL WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST. 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100..30 20 21 28 32 42 53 53 50 45 35 32 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX......3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 23 TO 47 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (506) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1161) LATE...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1668) LATE DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (866) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5100 FT AGL LATE...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)..........18 17 15 14 12 9 6 7 7 7 8 9 WEATHER COV...... WEATHER TYPE..... TEMP.............61 67 74 80 82 82 81 84 85 86 85 82 RH...............82 68 55 46 43 43 43 40 38 37 38 43 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 10 10 10 14 14 14 18 18 18 GENERAL WIND GST.15 15 18 21 25 25 26 27 27 28 28 28 VINDX KT-FT/100..48 113 180 223 152 66 80 506 1161 1668 1430 866 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.9 3.9 5.1 4.2 2.5 HAINES INDEX......5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120609.DUCKL.03/MQT