FNUS73 KMQT 091949 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 349 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1419 EDT ON JUNE 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE LAKE SUPERIOR LAKE BREEZE IS MERGING WITH ITSELF OVER THE FIRE...WITH THE RESULT BEING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR VARYING WIND DIRECTIONS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS BREEZE...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE DUCK LAKE FIRE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER 30 MPH. EXPECT TEMPERATURES AND WINDS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY SUNDAY...WITH UNLIKE THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...SOME OF THE STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. THE NEARING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY CROSS LATE MONDAY EVENING...WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY FROM EARLY EVENING ON. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH THE FRONT SHOULD AVERAGE A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 DEGREES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (429). LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 TO TRACE. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)..........55 55 53 51 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP.............83 85 83 79 RH...............50 47 50 56 GENERAL WIND DIR..W W W W GENERAL WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST.11 11 VINDX KT-FT/100.419 429 273 139 MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 6.1 4.5 2.3 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 29 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 TO TRACE. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%).........49 41 32 24 26 27 29 25 20 15 16 16 WEATHER COV....ISO WEATHER TYPE...TSM TEMP............75 72 70 68 66 63 61 60 60 60 60 61 RH..............64 66 68 70 74 79 82 85 85 84 85 84 GENERAL WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW GENERAL WIND SPD.4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 GENERAL WIND GST. 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.25 0 0 35 40 46 53 50 48 45 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT)..0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX.....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 48 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (326) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1926). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4700-5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)..........16 16 15 14 12 9 7 7 7 8 8 9 WEATHER COV...... WEATHER TYPE..... TEMP.............64 70 78 84 86 85 85 87 90 90 88 84 RH...............78 64 51 43 40 40 39 36 33 33 36 41 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 12 12 12 14 14 14 GENERAL WIND GST.11 13 13 20 20 20 21 23 23 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100..50 326 636 901 1013 1091 1201 1480 1770 1926 1607 1115 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.7 3.5 5.0 5.3 5.2 5.0 5.5 5.9 5.8 4.7 3.2 HAINES INDEX......5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120609.DUCKL.04/MQT