FNUS73 KMQT 101011 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - HEAD OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 611 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0527 EDT ON JUNE 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...PLAN ON A WARMER AND DRIER DAY TODAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES. UNLIKE RECENT DAYS...THERE WON'T BE A LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR. INSTEAD...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE AND BECOME GUSTY TO 25 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP NEAR 90 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES. THE TROUGH ARRIVING MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE UNDER ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN PASS LATE MONDAY EVENING...WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY FOR TUESDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES TUESDAY SHOULD NOT RISE OUT OF THE 50S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 33 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 23 TO 41 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (339) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1451). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 4700-5600 FT AGL BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........0 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 2 3 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............60 66 74 80 82 82 82 84 86 87 86 84 RH................86 71 56 46 42 40 40 37 34 33 34 37 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..8 8 8 10 10 10 16 16 16 18 18 18 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 VINDX KT-FT/100...38 56 100 193 339 558 777 1094134414511353999 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.5 4.6 5.4 5.6 4.7 3.2 HAINES INDEX......5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 63 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 47 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (119) DECREASING TO POOR (55) BY MIDNIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........3 3 4 4 8 13 17 23 29 35 41 46 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............81 77 74 71 69 68 68 68 68 68 68 68 RH................40 45 49 53 57 59 61 62 62 63 63 62 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..13 13 13 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..25 25 25 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...589 353 198 119 72 69 85 87 90 94 69 55 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (463). LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........52 55 58 62 65 68 71 71 71 71 71 71 WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW TEMP..............70 74 77 79 76 73 70 71 73 73 71 68 RH................59 55 50 50 55 62 68 64 60 58 62 68 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...89 242 389 463 343 187 57 32 41 63 65 67 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ROLFSON REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120610.DUCKL.01/MQT