FNUS73 KMQT 101003 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 603 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0527 EDT ON JUNE 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...PLAN ON A WARMER AND DRIER DAY TODAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES. UNLIKE RECENT DAYS...THERE WON'T BE A LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR. INSTEAD...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE AND BECOME GUSTY TO 25 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP NEAR 90 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES. THE TROUGH ARRIVING MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE UNDER ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN PASS LATE MONDAY EVENING...WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY FOR TUESDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT... TEMPERATURES TUESDAY SHOULD NOT RISE OUT OF THE 50S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 23 TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (394) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1018) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1581) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (892) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)........... 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............63 69 76 82 84 84 83 86 88 89 87 83 RH................86 70 55 46 41 40 39 36 33 32 34 38 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..9 9 9 11 11 11 16 16 16 17 17 17 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 VINDX KT-FT/100...38 171 394 650 823 101812041410156815811299892 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 1.1 2.3 3.4 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.6 6.0 5.9 4.6 3.0 HAINES INDEX......5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 67. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 68 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH BY LATE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 46 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (21). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........3 3 4 4 8 13 17 23 29 34 40 46 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............79 76 73 71 69 68 67 67 67 67 67 68 RH................43 47 51 54 59 63 65 66 67 68 68 66 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 GENERAL WIND GST..25 25 25 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...459 241 129 83 53 64 85 83 80 75 38 21 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING....THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 38 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (509) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (646) BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1053) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (424) EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1300-2500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3100-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.13 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........52 55 58 61 64 67 70 71 71 72 72 73 WEATHER COV....... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW TEMP..............70 74 78 80 78 76 74 76 79 80 77 72 RH................63 59 54 52 56 61 65 59 53 51 56 65 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...73 281 509 646 519 368 295 527 828 1053834 424 MIX HGT (KFT).....0.3 1.0 1.9 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.3 2.3 3.5 4.0 3.1 1.6 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ROLFSON REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120610.DUCKL.02/MQT