FNUS73 KMQT 102004 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK LAKE - TAIL OF FIRE...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 404 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1428 EDT ON JUNE 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE AREA WILL BE BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST...WHILE SITTING BELOW AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A WARM...BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL STAY ABOVE 10 MPH OVERNIGHT. POOR RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED...WITH MAX VALUES ONLY REACHING AROUND 65 PERCENT. SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE ONCE AGAIN AFTER DAYBREAK ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MINIMUM RH VALUES ONLY REACH JUST ABOVE 50 PERCENT BEFORE PRECIPITATION ARRIVES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FROM 3PM TO 6PM. TOTAL RAINFALL SHOULD BE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH...BUT AMOUNTS COULD BE VARIABLE GIVEN HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL UNDER SOME THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD END BY MIDNIGHT...WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. WINDS WILL QUICKLY TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AS THE FRONT PASSES AROUND MID EVENING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO A WESTERLY DIRECTION AFTER MIDNIGHT. AT THAT TIME...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. WINDS THEN BECOME GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. GUSTS MAY APPROACH 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANCES OF WIDESPREAD RAIN. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 44 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (2220). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........4 4 3 3 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............91 91 90 89 RH................33 30 30 32 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 GENERAL WIND GST..28 27 27 25 VINDX KT-FT/100...1811 1930 2098 2220 MIX HGT (KFT).....6.7 6.7 7.0 7.2 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 49 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1657) DECREASING TO POOR (51). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........3 3 4 4 8 13 17 23 29 34 40 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP..............88 86 82 78 77 76 74 73 72 70 69 69 RH................32 34 39 45 46 48 51 53 57 61 65 68 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..13 13 13 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..24 23 21 19 18 17 16 15 14 15 15 16 VINDX KT-FT/100...2153 1657 973 364 125 67 90 52 51 85 132 212 MIX HGT (KFT).....6.7 5.0 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY EARLY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID AFTERNOON...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 43 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (792) DECREASING TO FAIR (275) LATE. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4 UNTIL 1800...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........49 53 56 60 63 66 70 70 71 71 71 72 WEATHER COV....... ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE...... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP..............75 78 80 80 80 79 77 75 75 75 76 77 RH................56 52 51 53 54 57 62 65 65 65 60 55 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..12 12 12 13 13 13 11 11 11 10 10 10 GENERAL WIND GST..17 18 20 22 22 22 21 20 18 17 16 15 VINDX KT-FT/100...318 476 636 720 769 792 746 638 531 412 275 153 MIX HGT (KFT).....1.0 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...TK REQUESTED BY...CELESTE CHINGWA TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120610.DUCKL.04/MQT