FNUS71 KAKQ 111333 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY GROVE UNIT 45 33S...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 933 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL RETREAT BY THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...STALLING JUST OFFSHORE ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............57 69 69 69 76 76 76 WEATHER COV.........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................80 83 84 86 86 88 87 RH..................56 51 51 48 50 47 50 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 3.8 4.6 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 7 8 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 10 13 15 16 16 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....25 36 51 68 73 76 79 LVORI...............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................30 39 51 46 49 52 54 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............81 81 81 85 85 85 90 90 90 94 94 94 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................85 84 81 78 76 74 73 73 72 71 71 69 RH..................53 57 63 69 74 79 81 81 84 87 90 97 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.8 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......8 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....18 21 21 20 17 15 14 13 13 12 10 9 VRATE KT-FT/1000....61 39 13 11 9 8 7 6 5 5 4 4 LVORI...............1 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 ADI.................50 41 16 15 7 7 6 6 6 5 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............97 97 97 97 97 97 96 96 96 97 97 97 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................69 71 71 74 76 78 80 81 81 82 83 82 RH..................97 93 93 84 79 74 69 67 67 65 63 65 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 40 40 40 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 10 12 12 10 10 10 10 12 12 10 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....4 4 5 7 8 10 12 14 17 14 12 9 LVORI...............7 6 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 ADI.................4 5 8 8 13 14 16 18 20 18 16 13 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 FORECASTER...SCALORA REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120611.PINEY.01/AKQ