FNUS75 KBOU 120138 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WEBER...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 738 PM MDT MON JUN 11 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WERE BUILDING IN THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING...AND THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM WITH SOME INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY WITH NORMAL DIURNAL WINDS MOST LIKELY SHIFTING TO A MORE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST COMPONENT IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE AIRMASS MIXES. HUMIDITIES WILL BE QUITE LOW RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN FIRE BEHAVIOR. MAINLY DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK WITH A CONTINUATION OF WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A COLD FRONT TO ARRIVE BY FRIDAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68. MIN HUMIDITY........11-13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WIND 8-13 MPH BY 2100. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...INCREASING TO 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-71. MIN HUMIDITY........11-12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEBER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/11-19 53 10 2 52 29 S12 17 4 2 W31 7634 SW15 120589 V 06/11-20 53 10 2 49 34 S10 15 4 2 W32 4028 S13 62058 G 06/11-21 53 10 2 44 43 SW 9 14 4 2 W35 421 S 9 3527 P 06/11-22 53 10 2 42 51 SW 9 14 4 2 W37 360 S10 3072 P 06/11-23 53 10 2 40 57 SW 10 15 4 2 W39 300 S10 2618 P 06/12-00 26 0 0 40 61 SW10 16 4 1 W41 239 S10 2163 P 06/12-01 26 0 0 38 63 SW10 15 4 1 W41 229 S10 2053 P 06/12-02 26 0 0 37 62 SW 9 15 5 1 W41 219 SW10 1944 P 06/12-03 26 0 0 36 62 SW 9 14 5 1 W41 209 SW10 1834 P 06/12-04 26 0 0 35 62 SW 9 9 5 1 W40 191 SW10 1665 P 06/12-05 26 0 0 34 65 SW 9 9 5 1 W39 173 SW10 1497 P 06/12-06 26 0 0 33 63 W 9 14 5 1 W38 156 W10 1328 P 06/12-07 26 0 0 36 55 W 9 9 5 1 W37 534 W10 4919 P 06/12-08 26 0 0 42 40 W 9 9 5 1 W37 912 W10 8511 P 06/12-09 26 0 0 48 30 SE 9 14 5 1 W36 1290 W10 12102 P 06/12-10 26 0 0 54 23 SE10 15 5 1 W35 5172 W14 84101 G 06/12-11 26 0 0 60 18 SE12 17 4 1 W32 9054 W17 156099 E 06/12-12 42 10 2 63 16 SE13 17 4 1 W30 12936 W21 228097 E 06/12-13 42 10 2 62 15 SE13 17 4 1 W25 13708 W20 224586 E 06/12-14 42 10 2 64 14 S13 18 4 1 W21 14480 W17 221075 E 06/12-15 42 10 2 65 13 SW12 17 4 1 W16 15253 W16 217563 E 06/12-16 42 10 2 65 13 SW10 16 4 1 W15 14481 W14 176871 E 06/12-17 42 10 2 64 13 SW 8 12 4 1 W14 13709 W12 136180 V 06/12-18 42 10 2 61 15 W 7 7 4 2 W15 12936 W 8 95488 G 06/12-19 42 10 2 58 17 NW 6 6 4 2 W16 8731 NW 7 63996 G 06/12-20 42 10 2 55 22 NW 6 6 4 2 W18 4525 N 6 32505 P 06/12-21 42 10 2 51 28 NW 6 6 4 2 W20 319 N 3 1013 P 06/12-22 42 10 2 49 33 NW 7 7 4 2 W30 268 NW 6 1133 P 06/12-23 42 10 2 47 37 NW 7 7 4 2 W35 209 NW 6 1044 P 06/13-00 24 7 1 45 41 W 8 13 4 1 W37 150 W 7 955 P 06/13-01 24 7 1 43 45 W 8 13 4 1 W39 141 W 8 929 P 06/13-02 24 7 1 42 47 W 8 13 4 1 W40 132 W 8 903 P 06/13-03 24 7 1 41 49 W 8 13 4 1 W39 123 W 8 877 P 06/13-04 24 7 1 40 49 W 8 13 4 1 W39 126 W 8 873 P 06/13-05 24 7 1 40 48 W 8 13 4 1 W37 128 W 8 868 P 06/13-06 19 4 1 40 46 W 8 13 4 1 W35 131 W 8 864 P 06/13-07 19 4 1 42 39 W 8 8 4 1 W33 601 W 8 4665 P 06/13-08 19 4 1 47 30 W 7 7 4 1 W31 1072 W 9 8466 P 06/13-09 19 4 1 53 23 W 7 7 4 1 W30 1543 SW 9 12267 P 06/13-10 19 4 1 57 18 SE 7 7 4 1 W28 4654 W12 57567 F 06/13-11 19 4 1 61 15 SE 7 7 3 1 W25 7765 W14 102868 V 06/13-12 31 5 1 64 13 SE 8 13 3 1 W24 10876 W16 148168 V 06/13-13 31 5 1 65 13 SE 9 14 3 1 W22 11496 W15 154520 E 06/13-14 31 5 1 66 12 SE10 16 4 1 W20 12117 W15 160871 E 06/13-15 31 5 1 67 12 SE10 16 4 1 W17 12737 W15 167223 E 06/13-16 31 5 1 67 13 SE10 16 4 1 W16 12298 W14 150642 E 06/13-17 31 5 1 66 13 SW10 16 4 1 W14 11860 W13 134062 V 06/13-18 34 7 1 65 15 SW 9 15 4 1 W13 11421 W12 117481 V 06/13-19 34 7 1 63 17 SW 8 14 4 1 W13 7706 SW10 78909 G 06/13-20 34 7 1 59 21 SW 8 8 4 1 W12 3990 SW 9 40337 F 06/13-21 34 7 1 55 25 SW 7 7 4 1 W13 275 SW 7 1765 P 06/13-22 34 7 1 52 30 SW 6 6 4 1 W14 231 SW 7 1365 P 06/13-23 34 7 1 50 34 SW 5 5 4 1 W16 187 SW 6 965 P 06/14-00 26 6 1 48 38 W 5 5 4 1 W17 144 W 5 565 P 06/14-01 26 6 1 47 41 W 5 5 4 1 W20 134 W 5 527 P 06/14-02 26 6 1 45 44 W 5 5 4 1 W21 125 W 5 488 P 06/14-03 26 6 1 44 46 W 5 5 4 1 W21 115 W 5 450 P 06/14-04 26 6 1 43 46 W 5 5 4 1 W20 117 W 5 500 P 06/14-05 26 6 1 43 46 W 6 6 5 1 SW17 119 W 6 550 P 06/14-06 34 6 1 43 44 W 6 6 5 1 SW15 120 W 6 599 P 06/14-07 34 6 1 46 37 W 6 6 1 06/14-08 34 6 1 50 29 SW 7 7 1 06/14-09 34 6 1 55 22 SW 8 8 1 06/14-10 34 6 1 60 17 SW 8 13 1 06/14-11 34 6 1 63 14 SW 9 14 1 06/14-12 44 10 2 67 11 SW 9 14 4 2 SW20 14212 SW13 156553 E 06/14-13 44 10 2 67 11 SW 9 14 4 2 SW21 14562 SW14 175068 E 06/14-14 44 10 2 69 11 SW 9 14 4 2 SW21 14912 S15 193583 E 06/14-15 44 10 2 70 11 SW 9 14 4 2 S22 15262 S16 212098 E 06/14-16 44 10 2 70 12 SW 8 8 4 2 S21 14304 S15 184160 E 06/14-17 44 10 2 69 13 SW 8 8 4 2 S21 13345 S14 156222 E 06/14-18 42 12 2 67 15 SW 9 15 2 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120611.WEBER.01/BOU